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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Today, without question, on washington. Jonathan absolutely, and the response from washington both inefficient and insufficient with the president and a series of executive orders painting the democrats into a corner. They dont want to be seen challenging this legally. They need to find a way to get back to the negotiating table fast. Tom the executive order and the news out of hong kong as well. He didnt have time to get to it with kevin cirilli, but we may have a Vice President ial candidate today . Jonathan it has to happen at some point this week and the readthrough for this market will be...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

Thisyou need to know on monday, futures advance through the hour. Upures up 0. 7 , dow futures 0. 2 . What i find fascinating is the centralbank action no one is talking about. It is almost as if the Central Banks dont exist in july. Jonathan it is just assumed that they continue doing what they have been doing. The ecb coming up this thursday. The focus is on the variable policy move. That comes from the fiscal authorities in the United States over the next month and in europe. European leaders meeting going into the weekend. Guest after guest lining up the hind a long europe view. Thats goin...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

President respond to it today. I am not going to go into it at length, but let me cut to the chase. And arizona are where new york and new jersey were 85 days ago. That is what you need to know. It is extremely important to understand that something has changed in the last 24 hours. This is the story front and center today. Jonathan the numbers are worrying. They are concerning. I am not going to get excited about 3 billion of trade between the eu and the United States. This has got to be about the reopening process. Does it constrain policymakers ability to push forward in states like texas ....

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 12, 2024

You just heard steven major of hsbc talk about the recovery that is out there, and it is a mystery. Already come our conversations this morning have really showed the massive ambiguity we have going into 8 30 this morning, and then jons conversation with Lawrence Kudlow near the 10 00 hour as well. It is an extraordinary day. An up market, and some stasis in the bond market as well. But we have said this all morning. It is not just about the payrolls report for the Establishment Survey. It is about the slew of Economic Data we get out today. Jonathan it is also not just about the data. It is a...

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024 - Vimarsana News

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024

Pricing out of recession risk. We dont see recession coming right away. Maybe august was that peak here. Chomped a lot of wood in august, sentiment horrible. Sentiment is bearish. Maybe we are coming out of it. I think the fed needs to confirm that but maybe we have had a mini cycle. We are set up perfectly for a rally in risk assets into the fall. If we could just hold earnings, we get a reevaluation story. If you want the bull market to die, show me the recession. Until you can produce it, you have got to take the over. No recession, Central Banks in play, markets outside, going into the fal...