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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas July 11, 2024

Net 245 thousand people went back to work in november. That is significantly slower than we have seen every month since we started gaining again. Private payrolls, only 344,000. Last month in october, that was 877,000. The unlimit rate does fall to 6. 7 , but that is in large part because fewer people were in the labor force looking for jobs. Heres the thing that i think is really going to be important as we look at how the pandemic reshaped the economy. You look at what happened with retail hiring. 35,000 jobs lost in retail in a month when they are usually hiring for holiday sales. Createdad 118,000 jobs in the warehousing and courier sectors, which are the people who work for the online sales departments. It is a real change. Finally, the total labor force is still 9. 8 million below where it was in february. So no matter how well we have come back, no matter what that initial v looks like, it is starting to flatten out now, and you still have almost 10
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas July 11, 2024

The headline number, 57. 5, down from 59. 3. This is a very elevated number by historical standards still, but there are signs of some weakness creeping into those figures. It was unlikely they would remain as high as they did. The survey number was 58. We come through with a headline number of 57. 5. Prices paid a little light as well. The employment number has dropped quite significantly. This may be something you want to Pay Attention to. Remember, we are waiting for the payrolls number friday. 48. 4 is where we are coming through their. Construction spending month on month, 1. 3 . Lets break it all down. Lets get some details. Mike mckee come over to you. Michael you gave us most of the details there that matter, especially that employment number. That has been concerning people in the markets. We have seen a slowdown in the economy reflected in the topdown numbers, although manufacturing has been the source of strength in most ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

Morning, thevember imf is direct. There is real risk to any form of international recovery. They look at the pandemic data, they look at the gdp data, and they look at the lack of fiscal stimulus nation to nation. This time is different. These headlines are original before a g20 meeting, but we got to get right to this. This is a real wakeup call of the immediacy into december. Fromhan its an echo chairman powell and president lagarde over the last few days as well. I think market dispenser quick to untangle be shortterm from the longterm, to bear their hope in the sands of in the back end of 2021. I think what policymakers are suggesting is that the shortterm matters. It can shape what the longterm looks like area when you look at the balance of risks, they are tilted aggressively to the downside. Abramowicz, this headline, elevated asset values point to Financial Stability risk, and i am surprised that is a judgment by imf ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Americas July 11, 2024

Come whichrevious also been revised higher. There was some expedition that as prices come up because of the fact you can get cheap lending at the moment or cheap borrowing , you would expect that at some have, that would start to an impact on a month by month basis. Nevertheless, the market was looking for this month on month number two actually slow, and that hasnt happened, which is really interesting and the light of what we are starting to see in the employment market. We saw initial jobless claims out a little bit earlier on. Youre starting to see the negative data could begin from the employment side of the economy, starting to come in a little softer. Bloombergs mike mckee joining us now with the details of that. Michael at one point on the housing numbers, existing home sales or closings, so these contracts were signed a couple of months ago when things were a little better in the economy, and we got low mortgage rates, so the one thing the fed has been able to do is stimulate ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance July 11, 2024

The last 24 hours. Tom what is interesting is the microanalysis of france or germany. Interesting conclusions. Heres what matters. Hospitalization capacity and the number of deaths is front and center for the pros. Jonathan and for market participants, desensitized by the numbers, conditions by the experience of earlier in spring. Markets that if that markets go up, and if they policymakers step in. Tom it is real simple here. Yes, all of that is true, but. Lso noted, a society adapting stimulus may be, the adoption of a set of vaccines, but also corporations adjusting to try to better 2021. Jonathan lets hope we get some better economic data. 8 30 eastern, jobless claims just around the corner. We got from 3m this morning. They are going to cut 3 of their staff, 2900 jobs. This comes amid the concern, how much can we see these terrible pandemic numbers without longerterm impact on that future outlook in 2021 . At 8 00 a. M. , we are getting the rest of the opec meeting on out cuts on ....

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