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good evening, from cnn's election center because, yes, it has begun and it's an episode of survivor. at least that's how republican presidential candidate rick santorum described the iowa caucuses. here is the thing about iowa. no offense, iowa, you're really important but you're also small. only 2 million registered voters. 640,000 of them republicans. and if the 2008 caucuses were an indication of what's ahead for tomorrow, only about 100,000 of those republicans will actually go out on a cold january night to cast their votes. those who do, it only is a 50% success rate when it ac...

Up see that the santorum spike we've been talking about, caucuses are hard to predict. what do you make of these polls? we're going to start with john. >> i'll tell you, i mean, first of all, rick santorum's got what george h.w. bush once calmed the big mo. momentum at his back, could be critical in the caucus. a high number of people undecided. we'll gelt into the caucus room and make up their mind right there. that's positive. mitt romney holding steady. big picture, amazing. the most volatile gop primary on record. seven people held the poll position at one point over the past year. far fro...

>> also, we've got something very unusual that's happening in mt. rainier. there's been a murder of a park ranger and they're looking for this person. they feel like he's escaped on foot at this point and have had to actually rescue some of the people that have been camping. we'll tell you more details about that. >> the fat weather service says blizzard condition in the great lakes could make the travel you're trying to execute impossible. >> isn't this like one of the busiest days of the year for travel. >> a lot got used to the warmer weather, you know, the nice conditions and -- ...

ron paul not too far behind. let's go "out front." -- captions by vitac -- www.vitac.com and a good evening to you. i'm brooke bolduan sitting in for erin burnett. you know that clock, it is ticking away. candidates have four days left to pick up support for the nation's first contest in the race for the gop nomination. first up, mitt romney bringing out the big guns and the very popular chris christie stumping on his behalf and the new jersey governor had what we'll call a bit of a stern warning for the voters of iowa. take a look. >> i'm in a good mood this morning. i'm feeling h...

state until the final push. what the heck is a caucus any way? and are you looking for a job? one employer says you better not smoke. we'll show you how they are testing job applicants for nicotine. happy new year to you. if you're celebrating new zealand style. that's because it's midnight there. let's look at auckland. there it is. they are among the first to ring in the new year. they do it in amazing style. we will spend the next couple hours showing you the new year's celebrations from around the world as the clock strikes midnight in various parts of the world. there's a ne...