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It's not for a lack of trying and effort on the president's part. >> there is a former hedge fund manager who had the polling right in 2016, is calling for the republicans to keep the house. he thick the way the polls are done today, there is a little bit of the bradley effect where people won't tell you they are voting for the republicans but they are. and they are not registered right in terms of the anonymity of the voting. jesse: the guy who nailed it in 2016 say the same a analytics hd true now. the silent majority that don't express their love for donald trump. but when they get behind t...

It's not for a lack of trying and effort on the president's part. >> there is a former hedge fund manager who had the polling right in 2016, is calling for the republicans to keep the house. he thick the way the polls are done today, there is a little bit of the bradley effect where people won't tell you they are voting for the republicans but they are. and they are not registered right in terms of the anonymity of the voting. jesse: the guy who nailed it in 2016 say the same a analytics hd true now. the silent majority that don't express their love for donald trump. but when they get behind t...

Voting in through this morning. >> yes. >> the democrats have virtually caught up to the republicans, and a lot of people like to talk about the bradley effect. we may have to talk about something new called the jolly effect because we are seeing lots of republicans like david jolly saying this time around we cannot support this. we're going to go straight ticket democrat. i think that's belying some of these numbers. there are a lot of independents voting democrat. that's why we are seeing the beginning of this wave start to materialize here in florida. >> there were two candidates who were n...

Professor, you know, one percentage point down according to this poll. that's where steve king is right now. do we think that people who would actually vote for steve king would tell a pollster? yeah, i'm going to vote for steve king. or do we think that once again as we've talked about before people who tend to support the candidacy of those who have said time and time again offensive things, racist things, they're not going to necessarily reveal to a pollster that they're going to support that candidate? >> i think that's right, craig. we saw that earlier, remember that we talked about the b...

Really important people if they're in the middle of a big he story, they go on all of them. it is called the full ginsburg named after monica lewinsky's lawyer. another is the bradley effect. the situation where voters tell pollsters they'll go one way, only because they don't want to admit their real choice and that's named after tom bradley who lost despite the big lead in the polls before hand. or supreme court fans know what it means to get bourqued and every one knows john hancock. that's what the founding father with the largest signature had and that conveyed his courage at a time when ...