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In washington politics, important people go on the sunday public affair shows and really important people if they're in the middle of a big story, they go on all of them. it is called the full ginsburg named after monica lewinsky's lawyer. another is the bradley effect. the situation where voters tell pollsters they'll go one way, only because they don't want to admit their real choice and that's nailed after tom bradley who lost despite the big lead in the polls before hand. or supreme court fans know what it means to get bourqued and every one knows john hancock. jon stewart once tried to ma...

Values. many of the things that president trump just put in here, while they may not be true, like weak on crime, do you know anything about doug jones, are not true, but will resonate with a republican in alabama. could polls be wrong? could there be more people who are going to walk in and vote for roy moore and they just don't want to admit it? >> they could be. it could be a version of the bradley effect we might call the trump effect. people don't want to be associated with that person and so they won't tell the poster who they actually vote for and then they go into the voting booth in t...

Race, 50% to 47%, as "the washington post" has it. but there are a lot of concerns about polling in alabama right now for this race, especially because this is a special election, special elections don't occur regularly, so they're hard to poll for. this one has the allegations of sexual misconduct, which could create a huge variable. those allegations you just mentioned at the top. alabama generally has been a place that's tough to poll in. also, this is during the holidays, another variable, and the biggest one perhaps of all, is the bradley effect. some people are embarrassed, perhaps, who ...

I mean, that is a challenge that has the most catastrophic possibilities of any we've seen since the end of the cold war. >> this reaction isn't new. we saw it during the campaign and we saw people questioning his confidence and his temperament and this isn't new. in some ways, you remember in 1982 when mayor bradley ran for california and we had the bradley effect and there was the social desirability progress, and he was leading in the polls and he lost and we need to talk about the trump effect and there are folks who will tell us that he's incompetent and the tmz video is horrible, but in ...

Big tests for both the hurricane relief and the response to north korea. they want to have the feeling that he has some control in these two big challenges and especially north korea. i mean, that is a challenge that has the most catastrophic possibilities of any we've seen since the end of the cold war. >> this reaction isn't new. we saw it during the campaign and we saw people questioning his confidence and his temperament and this isn't new. in some ways, you remember in 1982 when mayor bradley ran for governor in california and we had the bradley effect and there was the social desirabilit...