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'The Triumph Of Hope Over Experience' – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

'The Triumph Of Hope Over Experience' – Investment Watch

“Marriage is the triumph of imagination over intelligence. Second marriage is the triumph of hope over experience.” -Oscar Wilde Substitute “investing during a mania” for “marriage” in the quote above and you’ll understand what is going on in the stock market today. To wit, in 1999, Warren Buffett famously told a select group of wealthy individuals at a confab in Sun Valley: Investors in stocks these days are expecting far too much, and I’m going to explain why… A Paine Webber and Gallup Organization survey released in July shows that the least experienced investors–th...

Take A Bow, Jay Pow! - Vimarsana News

Take A Bow, Jay Pow!

For reference, at the peak of the Dotcom Mania, this measure only reached 188% so we are now over 40% more expensive than the most expensive stock market peak in history! Another way to think about this is to understand that, at today’s valuation, the stock market would need to fall 30% overnight in order to match the peak of what is widely considered the greatest bubble in modern history. And not only is the current stock market bubble that much bigger than the previous record, it is also far broader. The median price-to-sales ratio of S&P 500 Index components is now almost 75% higher tha...

06May2021 Pre-Market Commentary: Wall Street Futures Flat As Traders Look For Buying Catalyst, DOW Up 23 Points, Nasdaq Down -0.08%, US Dollar Slips 91.02, Bitcoin 57800, Dogecoin 0.60 - Vimarsana News

06May2021 Pre-Market Commentary: Wall Street Futures Flat As Traders Look For Buying Catalyst, DOW Up 23 Points, Nasdaq Down -0.08%, US Dollar Slips 91.02, Bitcoin 57800, Dogecoin 0.60

Oil edges lower as traders focus on U.S. gasoline demand (WTI 65.14). Initial jobless claims fall but over 16 million Americans remain jobless. Here is the current market situation from CNN Money European markets are mixed. The DAX is higher by 0.06%, while the CAC 40 is leading the FTSE 100 lower. They are down 0.43% and 0.07% respectively. What Is Moving the Markets Here are the headlines moving the markets. Hedge Funds Bet On Higher Oil Prices Money managers intimate a growing confidence that oil prices have room to run higher this year, thanks to expectations of a robust economic rebou...

Take A Bow, Jay Pow! – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

Take A Bow, Jay Pow! – Investment Watch

The Buffett Yardstick, or total market capitalization of the U.S. equity market relative to the overall size of the economy, now stands at a gaudy 270%. For reference, at the peak of the Dotcom Mania, this measure only reached 188% so we are now over 40% more expensive than the most expensive stock market peak in history! Another way to think about this is to understand that, at today’s valuation, the stock market would need to fall 30% overnight in order to match the peak of what is widely considered the greatest bubble in modern history. And not only is the current stock market bubble th...