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A step back, what has been happening is the direct effects between the u. S. And china of the actual tariffs, you know, theyre starting to get up towards potentially over the course of two, treeyear period about 1 percentage point lower for usgdp if they remain in place. Theres the direct effect. What is happening globally is a confidence effect on business, business confidence, not just in the u. S. And china, but across the supply chains and more broadly because it is not, as you know, just a series of measures between those jurisdictions. We had issues with usmca, we have issues around auto...

Rates. A couple members wanted to cut by 50 basis points instead of 25 basis points last meeting and most members viewed the 25 basis point rate cut as quote a midcycle adjustment. Members think trade tensions are far from settled. They expect trade uncertainty to persist. While the minutes are released with a threeweek lag and since they met, President Trump decided to move forward on further tariffs on remainder of chinese imports, it appears fed officials view actions like that likely to persist. So bottom line here, charles, while the fed cut last meeting it is unclear whether further Inte...

Heres the jargon, the yield curve inversion. This is fed day and a very big day. In advance of the official word on rates, stocks have been all over the place this morning, up and down, moment to moment. Right now we are looking like a loss of maybe 112 points for the dow and down 45 on the nasdaq. This is whats hitting the market, china. China says it will impose 5 to 10 tariffs on 75 billion worth of u. S. Goods. That is obviously a negative for china trade. Its escalation and therefore, bad for the market. Elsewhere, later today, the president leaves for france for the g7 summit. Interest r...

We will dig in and follow every move the cbo out today saying the deficit will increase more than earl remember forecast as david said, retail strengths, lowes up t. Target up, more signs of spending from the consumer charlie, welcome this is your kind of rally day any great reason behind it the American Economy continuing to be 70 consumer form the consumer is in very good shape he walmart had seals up almost 3 , target, home depot showing strong results its very hard to have a recession with dropping unemployment, rising wages and strong consumer spending, and yet some of the members of the ...

Welcome stocks are surging dow is up nearly 500 points. S p 500 climbing back towards record territory were just about 3 below record highs and the nasdaq jumping almost 2 of the session check out the retail rally Department Stores like macys nordstroming and lulu lem hn that stock is higher well have more on those moves later on weve got the angles of the big rally covered. Seema at the new york stock exchange, eamon javers at the white house where optimism spurred this rally and Steve Liesman on the year of the right cut. We start with seema. A triple digit rally for the dow as u. S. And chi...