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As Democrats try to hold the Senate through defending red states, a look at the rise and fall of split Senate outcomes in presidential years.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— This is the second part of our history of presidential-Senate split-ticket results, from World War II to now. This part covers the mid-1980s to present, a timeframe that started with many instances of split results and ended with hardly any at all.— In 1984 and 1988, amidst large GOP victories at the presidential level, more than a dozen Republican-won states sent Democrats to the Senate both years.— The 1990s, when Dem...

Since the South Carolina Republican Party introduced the state's "First in the South" presidential primary in 1980, the race has often positioned one GOP contender as the unquestioned front-runner moving into later primaries. In 2024, South Carolina could once again prove decisive in the Republican presidential primary, albeit as a potential final nail in the coffin. Heading into Saturday's contest, former President Donald Trump holds a dominant position in the GOP race over his only remaining major opponent, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley.

As Democrats try to hold the Senate through defending red states, a look at the rise and fall of split Senate outcomes in presidential years.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— In the post-World War II era, there have been nearly 200 instances of states voting for one party for president and another for Senate in presidential election years.— This type of ticket splitting has generally been to the benefit of Democrats, who have been out of the White House for a slight majority of that timespan.— The split-ticket trend has been declining, but Democrats will want to reverse that to some degree t...

Since the South Carolina Republican Party introduced the state's "First in the South" presidential primary in 1980, the race has often positioned one GOP contender as the unquestioned front-runner moving into later primaries. In 2024, South Carolina could once again prove decisive in the Republican presidential primary, albeit as a potential final nail in the coffin. Heading into Saturday's contest, former President Donald Trump holds a dominant position in the GOP race over his only remaining major opponent, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley.

Recent non-major party vote strongest out west -- and not in the states likeliest to decide 2024.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Potentially weak major party nominees paired with a long list of third party candidates could lead to a higher-than-usual level of third party voting in 2024.— Recent third party performance has generally been strongest in western states and weakest in the South.— The states that are most likely to decide the 2024 election have not had high average third party voting this century.