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Dollar Hesitates after Stronger than Expected CPI, Sterling Lower on Job Data

Dollar saw only a temporary uplift from stronger-than-expected CPI figures from the US. The greenback reverted to pre-release levels, while stock futures rebounded. Traders appeared to be refraining from taking decisive bets. This reaction suggests that the inflation data, despite being higher than anticipated, may not be sufficiently influential to deter Fed from cutting interest rate in June. The core inflation rate's modest cooling, alongside perceptions of energy driven headline inflation rise as "transitory," has seemingly tempered immediate concerns over persistent inflationary pressures.

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Yen Retreats as FM Tempers Inflation Optimism; Market Awaits US CPI and UK Wage Insights

Yen weakened broadly in Asian session today, reversing some of its robust since the previous week. This shift in momentum comes amid tempered expectations for an imminent BoJ rate hike at next week's meeting. Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki's comments that the country is not yet ready to declare victory over deflation, despite positive signs such as substantial wage hikes and record-high capital spending, prompted some traders to turn cautious. Meanwhile, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's comments in a parliamentary session offered no new hints towards monetary policy adjustments, focusing instead on the bank's data-driven approach to confirming a wage-price spiral.

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A Packed Day With UK Employment, Swiss CPI, German ZEW, and US CPI

On the contrary, Dollar stands out as the day's strongest performer for now, with the financial markets on edge for the upcoming US CPI data release. Analysts are forecasting deceleration in headline CPI from 3.4% to 2.9% in January, alongside minor decrease in core CPI from 3.9% to 3.8%.

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Core Inflation Slowdown Hits a Snag, Dollar Rises Amid Fed Cut Uncertainties

Dollar rises significantly in early US session supported by the latest consumer inflation data, which also triggers a marked in DOW futures, dropping by over -300 points. Concurrently, 10-year Treasury yield is soaring near 4.3% mark. Most critically, the inflation data revealed that core CPI remained unchanged at 3.9% in January. This stagnation in core CPI—previously at 4% just three months ago and 4.3% six months back—sparked debates on whether disinflationary trends are stalling. This development would likely delaying any immediate Fed rate cut. Now, the May timeline for initiating rate reductions appears increasingly doubtful.

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Dollar Defies Increasing Rate Cut Expectations, Gains Ground on Risk-Off Sentiment

Dollar rises broadly on risk-off sentiment today, as as Hong Kong stocks led the region lower. The greenback's strength comes despite growing calls for Fed to initiate policy loosening earlier. Notably, Goldman Sachs has joined this chorus, predicting an initial rate cut as early as March and a total of five cuts throughout the year. Concurrently, US 10-year yield has also breached the 4% mark, riding on the overall market sentiment.

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Dollar's Rally Unfazed by Weak Manufacturing Data, Bolstered by Risk Aversion

Dollar continues its strong rally in early U.S. session, making an attempt to surpass January high against Euro. The market appears to be ignoring surprisingly poor results of Empire State Manufacturing survey. Instead, mild risk-off sentiment is prevailing, offering some support to the greenback.

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US CPI to Dictate Dollar's Path, GBP/JPY Poised Ahead of UK Employment Figure

The financial markets are intently focused on the upcoming US CPI report, a key indicator that could influence Fed's next steps. Expectations are leaning towards a further slowdown in headline inflation to 3.3%, while the core inflation rate is projected to remain constant at 4.1%. However, there's a growing consensus among economists about the potential for upside risks in this data release, especially concerning goods and shelter inflation.

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Market Jubilation as US CPI Signals Continuing Disinflation, Dollar Plunges

Investor sentiment is riding high in the wake of the latest US CPI report, with a notable surge in the DOW futures, climbing over 300 points, and a marked drop in 10-year yield, plunging from above 4.6% to below 4.5%. The report presented a picture of easing inflation, with both headline and core inflation rates falling short of market expectations. Significantly, core CPI has reached its lowest point in over two years. The weaker monthly price rise also bolsters the notion that disinflation is underway. This development could potentially revive Fed Chair Jerome Powell's "confidence" that the existing monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive to steer inflation back towards target.

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Asian Session Sees Antipodean Currency Waves, Sterling and Canadian Braced for Movement Next

The currencies from the Southern Hemisphere, Australian and New Zealand Dollars, saw notable volatility in Asian session today. Aussie is gaining traction following release of RBA minutes, highlighting a low tolerance for inflation surprises and opening the door for another rate hike next month. In contrast, Kiwi is facing downward pressure after disappointing CPI data dampened the prospects of further RBNZ tightening. These developments have placed the two currencies at opposite ends of the daily performance spectrum.

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Retail Sales Lifts Dollar Higher; Canadian Faces Headwinds After CPI

Today's economic data releases are steering the markets, though it is uncertain how sustained their influence will be. Dollar emerges as the day's strongest performer, buoyed by robust retail sales figures. Australian Dollar trails as the initial lift from RBA minutes dissipates, leaving it in the second spot. Euro is firmer after German economic sentiment data showed Eurozone has passed the lowest point.

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