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UK data highlights oncoming recession

- UK Final GDP reading revised lower adding to evidence the country has slipped into a recession; UK household incomes fell for a fourth straight quar

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Weak PMI readings for Europe add to recession concerns

- Central banks continued to hike to address inflation (Philippines, Norway in session). Moves recirculate recession concerns and raise second thought

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Risk aversion flows continue to dominate amid growth concerns

- Risk aversion flows continue to dominate amid growth concerns. Asia - Australia Apr Employment Change: +4.0K v +30.0Ke; Unemployment Rate: 3.9% v 3.

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"Super Thursday" of rate decisons

- Plethora of rate decisions that highlight the divergence of central bank policies (Norges hikes by 25bps; SNB, Taiwan, Philippines, Indonesia hold);

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Watching to see if hawks emerge at upcoming BOE decision

Watching to see if hawks emerge at upcoming BOE decision
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Snap election looks less likely in Italy; Focus on BOE decision to be on negative rate outlook


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ECB Economic Bulletin noted that the pandemic continued to pose serious risks to public health and to the euro area and global economies. Start of vaccination campaigns across the euro area was an important milestone in the resolution of the ongoing health crisis. Monetary stimulus remained essential to preserve favorable financing conditions over the pandemic period for all sectors of the economy
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German Fin Min Scholz stated that had to make a decision in coming days whether debt brake suspension would also occur in 2022
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Italy Viva Party leader Renzi stated that Draghi was the best person for the Prime Minister position

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