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14 February 2021 Author: Dan Slater, University of Michigan Polarisation has torn the United States apart. Under former US President Donald Trump, it almost tore US democracy to shreds. But America is not only polarised within. It faces a polarised Pacific. Relations with China have reached their post-normalisation nadir after Trump’s years in office, when Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping propagated their strongman cults of personality in parallel. With Trump’s departure, ironically, polarisation abroad could worsen — even as US President Joe Biden has hitched the success of his p...

24 January 2021 Authors: Shiro Armstrong and Evgeniia Shannon, ANU On 30 December 2020, all 27 EU member states agreed to the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI) with China after seven years of negotiation. The deal should bring new market opportunities and protections to European investors in China and boost China’s reforms. Both China and Europe should benefit from better access to capital, while technology, market links and competition bring impetus to growth. Chinese investors are likely to find more certainty in Europe as much of the industrial world becomes more restrictive to...

17 January 2021 Author: Naoko Aoki, American University US President Donald Trump chose an unconventional style of diplomacy with North Korea that was characterised by an emphasis on leader-to-leader relations and a go-it-alone approach that minimised consultation with other stakeholders. While this approach resulted in three summit meetings with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, it did not lead to a meaningful rollback of North Korea’s nuclear weapons program. When US President-elect Joe Biden takes office on 20 January, he will face a North Korea that is frustrated about what it sees as fa...

10 January 2021 Author: Michael Kugelman, Wilson Center US president-elect Joe Biden’s foreign policy will be very different from that of President Donald Trump. Biden has vowed to bring back US global leadership, value international diplomacy, restore US alliances and promote democracy and human rights abroad. He intends to undo the dramatic — and in his view deleterious — changes that the Trump administration made to US foreign policy. Yet, while Biden may engineer a full-scale foreign policy reset, his administration’s likely South Asia policy will be an anomaly — a rare example ...

3 January 2021 Author: Liam Gammon, ANU How do you oversee one of the world’s worst outbreaks of COVID-19, ram through unpopular economic reforms during a recession and end up retaining the sort of approval ratings most democratic leaders would walk across coals for? Ask Indonesian President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo, who according to most rules of political gravity ought to have had a tough 2020. Instead, what stood out in Indonesia’s pandemic year was the resilience of the political status quo amid an ‘endless first wave’ of COVID-19. Indonesia’s decentralised government, large inf...