BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 14, 2024
What you are seeing is the pricing out of recession risk. We dont see recession coming right away. Maybe august was that peak fear. Chomped a lot of wood in august, sentiment horrible. Sentiment is incredibly bearish. Maybe we are coming out of it. I think the fed needs to confirm that but maybe we have had a mini cycle. We are set up perfectly for a rally in risk assets into the fall. If we could just hold earnings, we get a valuation story in equities. That is the pain trade. If you want the bull market to die, show me a recession. Until you can produce it, you have to take me over. No reces...