Important part of ECB decision is any signal of rate cut timing after US CPI shocks market
- Hot US CPI reading may be in rear view mirror but effects persisting today as traders bet that the inflation fight is not over.
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- Hot US CPI reading may be in rear view mirror but effects persisting today as traders bet that the inflation fight is not over.
- Relatively flat US dollar and mixed EU indices as risk sentiment remains undecided after little overnight and weekend macro news with US returning for trade today from Presidents Day.
EU mid-market uUpdate: UK's Hays mentioned slowing hiring trends globally in Dec; ECB dove says no need to wait until summer for rate cuts.
- Stocks move higher and bond yields lower as interest rate expectations are further dialed in after Fed Waller yesterday spoke about seeing case for rate cut in several months if inflation takes on course, suggesting a move in H1 2024, alongside a significant drop in German states and Spain’s CPI readings, ahead of Germany’s national reading at 08:00 ET.
EU Mid-Market Update: EU data on falling inflation and declining GDP pivoted bond yields to the downside on expectations of lower interest rates; Isra