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Print this article When it comes to foreign policy, the United States is notoriously averse to long-term thinking. Particularly since the end of the Cold War, our strategic culture has tended to cycle through fads, in which the terms of reference change even as the underlying policies remain continuous. Partly as a corrective to this tendency, every four years, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence releases an unclassified report forecasting the future’s most significant geopolitical developments. The most recent of these, "Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World," was pub...

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Source: Getty Summary:  Russia has long struggled to overcome its inability to retain talent for homegrown innovation and R&D. As a result, Russia’s global activism leans heavily on tried-and-true tactics. Related Media and Tools If you enjoyed reading this, subscribe for more! Thank you! Summary How will the Kremlin’s tool kit evolve as emerging technologies like artificial intelligence, machine learning, and deepfake forgeries become more widespread? Russia has long struggled to overcome the constraints imposed by the country’s chronic i...

URL copied to clipboard In 1993, President Clinton’s newly appointed CIA director, James Woolsey, described the post-Cold War security environment and the collapse of the Soviet bloc as the United States slaying the dragon and being left in a jungle inhabited by poisonous snakes. Throughout the 1990s, the United States duly reconfigured its huge military power away from heavy armour, anti-submarine forces and other Cold War elements and towards expeditionary warfare, special forces, stand-off weapons and rapid deployment, all useful for fighting small wars in far-off places. What was no...

682 Global Trends-2040: The US and China will influence global dynamics, forcing other states to accept ‘starker choices’. Reuters Vappala Balachandran Former Special Secy, Cabinet Secretariat Global Trends-2040, released by the US Director of National Intelligence (DNI) on April 8, is the seventh in the series starting with the first report in 1997 which was a 15-year global strategic security projection till 2010. In 1996, the US government asked its civilian intelligence and analysis body, the National Intelligence Council (NIC), to conduct periodical studies on the emerging gl...

Climate change, technology, disease and financial crises will pose big challenges for the world, an intelligence report concludes.