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Yesterday. we had a whole different race yesterday than before we went to bed. rick perry is out. perry is out and romney is flubbing the tax thing and gingrich is soaring, he had a smashing first five minutes of the debate and that is all he needed. so, you know, look, gingrich, i think is clearly surging ahead in south carolina, and the only, the only thing i put next to that, the prediction that he will probably win is that now everyone thinks he is going to win and so we all think we know what will happen in this campaign and something else happens. you scored an a plus on morning joe this morning and you do not grade on a curve, mark, does it matter if newt gingrich wins is there any way, given organization and staying power, to keep mitt romney from getting the nomination? ....
450,000 turn out will be a record. they expect the race will be close, things like that with a certain section of voter, it could go a long way. especially in the up state, 40% of the primary voters will come from the upstate, even by south carolina standards those voters are even more conservative than your typical south carolina voter. certainly there s a lot of cross currents here but gingrich has momentum and it started with that debate. the momentum is undeniable. i talked to former governor, republican governor here in south carolina and he was talking about how surprised that he was that newt gingrich has not bottomed out just yet. just a month ago he was up 20% points more than right now. voters in south carolina are torn from folks that i m hearing from on the ground, a lot of them have been around the republican party for a long ....
Others in the republican party that believe, and certainly rick santorum on the stage, that his past shows that he is not steady enough to be a nominee? i would not worry about getting the support of a congress that is polling at 9% approval. when he became speaker a lot of republicans had the idea that we will have earmarks and have all the things that the democrats had done and he did not do that. he bipassed the chairman and that made people angry. and so, yes, newt spent a lot of time saying no and maybe angered a lot of people in congress. what hailey barbour said and he is a former head of the governor s association and you served with him. what hailey barbour said is that if gingrich is the nominee at ....
It s red meat to the base. it s a dog whistle. yes, yes, and when newt gingrich said that, he is from georgia. he is familiar with south carolina politics. he knows the types of lines and words that get applause and things like that were greeted with applause and that is what it is designed to do. a certain type of voter in south carolina, hears that and it appeals to them on a different level. but gingrich is saying that his daughter got a job as a young person in her church. he is trying to compare it to examples that are, no pun intended, have no racial over tones. people hear the explanation the sound bite from sunday. if the primary voters are ....
The issue of taxes, the whole sort of ritchie rich imagie tha is being created around him and his money. the report of the off shore accounts, all this raises questions about his electability and that is the main thing he has. but you have republican leaders not just the haley bar bure bar hailey barbours but saying that romney is going to stumble. where does that leave them? it leaves the establishment to really around mitt romney without question and they will. and if gingrich, just as the bain capital attacks drove some of the members of the establishment toward romney, if it does, there will be panic, they will say it was tough that he lost a couple states but it ....