Revived trade war with china this time, the chinese are threatening to label some of our best companies as unreliable, meaning they wont be able to sell in the peoples republic. Then we got some mid retail Sales Numbers that werent just bad. They were grapes of wrath bad. But just when it looked like it would turn into a the buyers came right back. Plus, all sorts of Companies Keep reporting and telling us that april was much better than march, which bodes well for may. S p advanced 3. 9 . Nasdaq gained. What a turn. Now, that in mind, whats on tap for next week . Well, first, im dreading well come in on monday and hear about an escalation. The president s new containment strategy against china the market got hit earlier today because we are getting tough on huawei, the huge Chinese Company that the white house views as an unofficial farm of t unofficial arm of the communist party. There is a legitimate concern and if we give it to them, it is a security risk. Okay it its something he
We have three markets. Maybe even more. After a day where the dow advanced 39 points, s p declined. 05 , nasdaq did one point, i want you to forget about the averages for a second or a week or a year or until the end of the pandemic. Thanks to the onslaught of the coronavirus, something that no ones ever seen, were seeing Something Else thats incredible not just the complete untethering of main street from wall street, but the disentangling of even small publicly traded companies and medium size ones from the big dogs that have it easy and can handle this hellatious moment. We all know main street isnt wall street. When we get another hideous jobs loss claims number like we did this morning, now were seeing more separation, that is its stunning. In my 40 years of investing, i have never seen anything like what im about to talk about so im going to walk you through what could amount to a destruction of a fair share of American Business that incredibly might not impact much of the stock
About. Serve eagerly anticipating why . When the vast majority of investors agree something is going to happen that, is priced into the stock market. The real economy moves at its own pace, you got to broer money to build out equipment and use that equipment to manufacture goods and wait for the cost to buy them the stock market has no such limitations. Stocks dont travel the speed of light. Well, how about the speed of thought . They come close. So they decide the economy is slowing or speeding up or flat lining stocks start trading like thats the case. Instantaneously. Usually takes some time to build that consensus which is why you rarely see the moves happening all at once. But once the big institutional Portfolio Managers are on the same page about something, you can be confident that its baked into the averages. I say that week. It will happen that week economists take an ivory you to area proech to the discipline. They have models for how the world is supposed to work. Also they
Else is worrying about the flip side of this is also true, there is no point in getting excited about something that everybody else is eagerly anticipating why . Because when the vast majority of investors agree something will happen, that tends to be priced into the stock market the real economy moves at its pace, you got to borrow money to build that equipment and use that to manufacture goods and transport them to retail outlets and wait for the customer to come along and buy them. The stock market has no such limitations. Stocks dont travel at the speed of light well, how about the speed of thought . They come pretty close so the moment of preponderance decides its flat lining, stocks start trading. Instantaneously. It takes time to build that consensus which is why you rarely see the moves happening at once but once the big institutional Portfolio Managers are on the same page about something, you can be confident its baked into the averages instantaneo instantaneously, that week
Else is worrying about the flip side of this is true, there is no point in getting excited about something and everybody else is eagerly anticipatin anticipating why . Because when the vast majority of investors agree something will happen, that thing tends to be already priced into the stock market while the real economy moves at its own pace, you got to borrow money to build that equipment and use that equipment to manufacture goods and wait for the customer to come along and buy them the stock market has no such limitations. Stocks dont travel at the speed of light, well, how about the speed of thought they come pretty close so the moment a preponderance of hedge fund mangers decide the economy is slowing or speeding up or flat lining stocks start trading like thats the case instantaneously, usually takes time to build that consensus, which is why you rarely see these moves happening at once but once the big institutional portfolio mangers are on the same page about something, you c