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Squeaker which side prevails. So whether it is saccone by two or conor lamb by two matters less than it is a four point margin or whatever it ends up. Even if the democrats looses, if it is close, the democrats are going to claim it is a sign. Difficult for them to claim it is a Success Story even if saccone victory. Psychologically, there is a different impact especially for republican members. Tomorrow morning if the republicans were to gather for their Conference Meeting and if they have lost this seat, there will be a different feeling inside the room about concern and panic for what novem...

That she held there in november. >> and harry enten is joining us. polls are a snapshot in time, but there is a clear tread line here. >> yeah, closing that gap. she is up to 32%. look at that, a 7 point margin. look back here, it was a 22 point margin. ron desantis now just at 5%. and the question is why has nikki haley closed the gap in the poll. i think that gives you the reason. undeclared voters, they can vote in the state of new hampshire. and they will fueled upsets before. now nikki haley with a clear advantage, 43%, christie at 23%, trump back at 17%. back in november, she was just at...

Roughly a year out from the 2024 US presidential election, Stack Data Strategy has published its first set of MRP model estimates. As the largest poll to date, and the only MRP conducted so far, it gives us a good view of how the race for the White House is shaping up before the primaries begin. And as things stand, despite losing the popular vote, Donald Trump is on course to beat Joe Biden in the electoral college by 292 votes to 246.

A top political action committee has raised a substantial amount of money to use in the Republican primary ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

It’s a simple choice for Illinois’ top legislative leaders this fall: listen to the over $1 million each got in campaign cash from teachers unions, or back the futures of 9,600 low-income students with a tax credit that is barely a blip in the $50 billion state budget.