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Everybody's watching the presidential race but i'm just saying that from a statistical point of view, it seems pretty likely that the presidency is going in a particular direction. and so i think that for anybody who is concerned about what's going to happen, the thing to watch very closely is senate races for activists who are interested in making a difference, close senate races and places like nevada and new hampshire and north carolina. that's the place to be in terms of where the probabilities are, you know, right on a knife edge. >> princeton professor sam wang, thank you very much for s...

50/50 and in the event of a clinton presidency, that means that vice president kaine would break ties and that means that the democrats would have control. however, it comes down to seven races that are all within 3 percentage points and honestly, whoever wins four of those senate races will end up in control of the senate so this really could go either way. >> so for now, presidential race has no suspense. the senate is where the suspense still is. >> well, look, obviously, everybody's watching the presidential race but i'm just saying that from a statistical point of view, it seems pretty li...

The shutdown is favoring us. people understand they're getting hurt by republican partisanship. they want a team in congress that's going to provide solutions. >> thank you, congressman steve israel. >> thank you, karen. joining me now, ej dijon and professior sam wang. thank you for joining me. >> good to be with you. >> ej, you heard me talking with the congressman, you know, this lessons of sort of 2005, 2006, i mean, obviously, it is hard to look in our crystal ball and see what's happening a year from now, but that being said, you know, one of the things we did in building that narrativ...

0 2006, i actually didn't expect to see this kind of confluence of factors again for sometime. now, a number of public opinion polls show most of the anger and blame for the shutdown is aimed at the gop. in unpress departmented numbers even more so than the 1995 shutdown. it's raised a possibility that no one would have considered just two weeks ago. could we see a tidal wave of democratic support in the 2014 midterms? the latest nbc news/"wall street journal" poll shows backing for the tea party at an all-time low. meanwhile, president obama's approval rating has actually gone up. when asked ...

0 senators have now gone on record to say defaulting on the debt wouldn't be that big of a deal. october 17th, that's the day that's front and center in this game of congressional chicken. so far no one is blinking, but a lot of finger pointing going all around. >> we're arriving at a point in a few days, we're not going to pay our bills. this is america. we're not asking the speaker to do something that's unreasonable. >> i want to have a conversation. i'm not drawing any lines in the sand. it's time for us to just sit down and resolve our differences. >> i heard a lot of talk over the weeken...