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Skeptical Science New Research for Week #17 2023

In our government/NGO section this week, Brown University’s Climate and Development Lab report Discourses of Climate Delay in the Campaign Against Offshore Wind: A Case Study from Rhode Island applies earlier work by Lamb (Discourses of Climate Delay) and Cook (FLICC taxonomy) to put the bright lights on a organization attempting to fossilize energy supplies, finding archetypal examples of both systems littering that organization s rhetoric : ....

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"Empirical comparison of time series models and tensor product penalise" by Beverley Gogel, Sue Welham et al.

Plant breeding field trials are typically arranged as a row by column rectangular lattice. They have been widely analysed using linear mixed models in which low order autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series models, and the subclass of separable lattice processes, are used to account for two-dimensional spatial dependence between the plot errors. A separable first order autoregressive model has been shown to be particularly useful in the analysis of plant breeding trials. Recently, tensor product penalised splines (TPS) have been proposed to model two-dimensional smooth variation in field trial data. This represents a non-stochastic smoothing approach which is in contrast to the autoregressive (AR) approach which models a stochastic covariance structure between the lattice of errors. This paper compares the AR and TPS methods empirically for a large set of early generation plant breeding trials. Here, the fitted models include information on genetic relatedness amon ....

Akaike Information Criteria , Rima Time Series Models , Genetic Relatedness , Linear Mixed Models , Eparable Lattice Process , Spatial Dependence , Ensor Product Penalised Spline ,

Frontiers | Evidence of the Middle-Income Trap in Latin American Countries: Factor Analysis Approach Using Regression and the ARDL Model

The middle-income trap (MIT) is often accompanied by the decline or stagnation of economic growth, unreasonable domestic industrial structure, and serious polarization be-tween the rich and the poor. However, due to different international environments, different specific national conditions, and different development policies adopted by each country, the manner in which to get out of the MIT varies. Transforming the mode of economic growth and realizing sustainable economic development is an important means for a country or region to escape from the "trap" of economic stagnation. This study carries out an analysis of different economic growth factors of Latin America countries (we selected 19 MIT countries out of 33) and compared them with Singapore and Korea, which are in a high-income range. We used a regression model to find the relationship of variables in each country and the impact on the economic growth due to these variables. The study finds using correlation and reg ....

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