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Trump was at 42%. he hasn t spent as much money and yet he goes from 42 to 48% over the course of 5 months. san fits flat lined. haley has some up at the end. do you call it momentum? that s the big debate. she s up to 20%. but this is what s interesting when you look at the poll. we have talked about how trump supporters tend to be more enthusiastic and locked in. 88% of trump supporters say extremely excited about their candidate. you want your people to be enthusiastic. desantis, 62% say very enthusiastic. this is a problem sign for h lee. we ll see what happens some are more moderate republicans. they are not usual caucus goers. if they are not that enth enthusiastic and it s horrible o out, do they show up? thomas joins us now. i wonder what are this election is really about, because trump is so far ahead it s very difficult to see either of the two coming close.
Again, the big point here is to try to get a win that is large enough to set the momentum and offset anything that she has going into new hampshire. the other complication here, they worry that those big poll numbers will keep people from turning out who might just say, oh, donald trump, he already has enough support anyway. so they are trying to stress no matter what you are seeing, get out there and caucus on monday. i want to bring in thomas gift the director of the center on u.s. politics at university college london. he joins us from harrisburg, pennsylvania. thanks for being here with us again. so as we heard there donald trump according to this gold standard poll on track for the largest margin of victory in a contested republican iowa caucus in modern history. what does that say about the state of the race? thanks so much for having me, kim. great to be with you, as always. i think trump has the nomination locked up, that s what it says about the race, irrespective even of how iowa turns out, but part of me thinks it s important