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Their generation, and you really just are seeing a huge surge in energy that i think will continue on election day. we will see. and that s one of the great things being the preelection sunday, we ll be counting them soon. up next, democrats are poised for big gains outside of washington, hoping to make history in florida and georgia as part of what democrats believe will be a big, blue bounceback in races for governor. do the thing that you . let s clear a path. let s put down roots. let s build something. let s do the thing that you do. let s do the thing that changes the shape of everything. that pushes us forward and keeps us going. let s do the work. cal: we saved our money and now, we get to spend it - our way. valerie: but we worry if we have enough to last. ....
Because this 2018 map includes two democratic incumbents in states president trump carried just two years ago. that s why, heading into the final days here, we have 49 republican senators likely to win, 45 democrats likely to win. the six toss-up races, you see them here, in yellow. so for the democrats to pull this off, they have to essentially run the board. if nothing else changes, they have to run the board. here s another way to look at it. if nothing else changed, all the republicans would have to do is to win tennessee, where marsha blackburn is ahead right now. that s it, mike pence breaks the tie if republicans can get to 50. so the republicans have a much easier path to keeping their majority. and they think, actually, they can win some of these other states, too, and actually add to their majority. here s what democrats would have to do. let me show you this right here. democrats would have to one the board, win florida, win tennessee, win indiana, win missouri, win nevada, ....
Iowa, but have had to go back in there, as well. it s a lot of ups and down, even if democrats feel pretty good. and in contrast with trump, the democrats have been quite can disciplined in this cycle in the way they have talked about the economy. and you see them over and over again, them making this argument that, yes, the economy is can doing great, but the middle class, the lower middle class, a lot of people aren t feeling that. if you don t have ownership in the stock market, you re not going to be benefiting from some of the gains that we ve seen. so i think in that way, in contrast with 2016, when they did not democrats did not have a good economic message at all, they have been able to sway some voters, particularly on the tax bill, for example, by making this argument that it benefited the top 1% and not middle class america. all right. when we come back, up next, the path to controlling the senate runs through trump states this year and it takes two hands to count the ....