Control of congress up for grabs. this election isn t a referendum. it s a choice. reporter: democrats bracing for a potentially turbulent election night, needing to outperform president biden s weak approval rating, in the mid-40s. according to our new nbc news poll, 8 in 10 americans are dissatisfied with the economy. one positive sign for democrats, they re closing the enthusiasm gap with 73% of them and republicans eager to cast their ballot. republicans had a nine-point enthusiasm advantage just a month ago. the senate remains a toss-up with races deadlocked in georgia, nevada, and pennsylvania, where president biden and former presidents trump and obama converged to deliver closing arguments this weekend. don t tune out! get out and do what? vote! reporter: democrat john
The election. mm-hmm. versus herschel walker pointing a gun to his wife s head. nine children that exist. yeah. go down the list. you know, it s not getting caught in one lie after another lie after another lie on the campaign trail saying this woman doesn t exist, the media is making it up, and then a couple days later you find out he s been paying child support to this woman for a decade. going on stage and talking about wild pigs or something, talking about some animal that bulls and the bulls have the oh, my god. at this point, let s bring in a data trap and talk about that story. let s bring in journalist for the economist, elliott morris. you ve been look at the latest senate polling averages and their wide margins of error, pointing out two things, how
Tight the races are and also how polling at this point it can be very inaccurate. that s right. your previous guest, lisa, i echo with the numbers. if someone is telling you they know how the elections are going to turn out, they re lying to you or have been misled by someone lying to them. the key eight senate races, for example, they re all within the margin of error of polling averages on the final day of an election. there are four competitive republican states, four democratic states, and they could go either way. i guess republicans and democrats, they have their leads in some states like new hampshire, arizona, the lead towards the democrats, north carolina, ohio, wisconsin, sort of more republican-leaning states. but polling averages have been wrong before. part of my job as a data journalist is to assess the
and stay in his lane. warnock tells walker to stick to football in a bid to hang on to the senate. yesterday a pastor compared herschel to jesus. by the way, i wrote the headline. this is a very bitter race and because it s a 50/50 senate, it, like other races, could decide the senate majority. it s a very interesting contrast between walker and warnock in this regard. warnock has been crisscrossing the state, multimillion events a day, really focused on energizing democratic field troops to knock on doors, squeeze out every last democratic vote they can find in majority democratic counties and elsewhere. herschel walker, just like many other republicans, has issues on his side when you look at how independent voters and republicans of course feel about
Inaccuracy, the uncertainty of these numbers. i can tell you right now i wouldn t be surprised if republicans won 54 seats or if democrats won 54 seats in the senate. i mean, it s not only a toss-up race, there s a wide array of possibilities here. elliott, what i m curious about and if you ve talked to any polling firms that have talked about the fact that over the past six years that pollsters time and again underestimate populists, the populist vote for right-wing candidates, i m curious, have pollsters told you that they re trying to correct, do things to correct for the fact that in certain states especially in the upper midwest they consistently underestimate the number of populist voters who would come out and vote for populist
I ve been fascinated with what we re seeing in blue areas. we re seeing republicans possibly make inroads in blue areas. you were talking about new york. that s a perfect example. why is that happening? is that all the suburbanites or voters of color, maybe some small portion are staying home or taking another look at the republican party. if that happens, if republicans are able to expand their margins, they won t win those groups, but could they do better than the trump era? that would be a really big dynamic we all want to pay attention to. and democrats are worried about that. joining us from georgia is senior political correspondent for the washington examiner, david drucker. talking about great headlines, your latest, they re lying to you: walker likens warnock to satan in georgia senate race. a light touch.