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What are the limits to government borrowing?


T
HE SCALE of Joe Biden’s plans is hard to exaggerate. Where the American president’s former boss, Barack Obama, pivoted quickly to deficit-cutting after the trials of the global financial crisis, Mr Biden’s first budget, which he unveiled on May 28th, will borrow unapologetically. The plans assume that annual fiscal deficits will exceed 4% of
GDP through to the end of the decade; net public debt will rise to 117% of
GDP in 2030 from 110% today. The largesse raises two big questions. One is whether, coming on top of past stimulus packages, it will contribute to an overheating of America’s economy in the short term. The other important question is whether in the longer term America can prudently afford to loosen the purse-strings for a sustained period. As crisis has hit and interest rates have fallen, politicians have felt more able to run up debts than in the past. But the issue of whether and when limits to borrowing might apply still remains. Recent resear ....

United States , Ludwig Straub , Annette Vissing Jorgensen , Atif Mian , Arvind Krishnamurthy , Barack Obama , Olivier Blanchard , Joe Biden , University Of California , Harvard University , Amir Sufi Of The University Chicago , Princeton University , Peterson Institute For International Economics , Samir Sufi , Peterson Institute , International Economics , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , லுட்விக் ஸ்ட்ராப் , அந்நேட்டே விஸ்ஸிங்க் ஜோர்கென்சன் , அத்திப் மீயந் , அரவிந்த் கிருஷ்ணமூர்த்தி , பராக் ஒபாமா , ஆலிவர் பிளான்சார்ட் , ஓஹோ பிடென் , பல்கலைக்கழகம் ஆஃப் கலிஃபோர்னியா , ஹார்வர்ட் பல்கலைக்கழகம் ,

Central banks in a shifting world: Takeaways from the ECB's Sintra Forum


Philipp Hartmann, Glenn Schepens 12 May 2021
The 2020 ECB Forum on Central Banking addressed some key issues from the ongoing monetary policy strategy review and embedded them in discussions of major structural changes in advanced economies and the post-COVID recovery. In this column, two of the organisers highlight some of the main points from the papers and debates, including whether globalisation is reversing, implications of climate change, options for formulating the ECB s inflation aim, challenges with informal monetary policy communication, relationships between financial stability and monetary policy, how to make a monetary policy framework robust to deflation or inflation traps and the role of fiscal policy for the recovery from the pandemic. ....

Frankfurt Am Main , United States , World Bank , District Of Columbia , Volker Wieland , Annette Vissing Jorgensen , Alan Blinder , Pol Antras , Jerome Powell , Ignazio Visco , Argia Sbordone , Klaus Adam , Lucrezia Reichlin , Markus Brunnermeier , Jordi Gal , Hyun Shin , Christine Lagarde , Andrew Bailey , H Le Bihan , Susan Lund , Collaborative Research Center Transregio , European Regional Development Fund , International Monetary Fund , Federal Reserve Bank , University Of Frankfurt , Intergovernmental Panel On Climate ,