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School closures did not contribute to the spread of the coronavirus in Germany

Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln, Dirk Krueger, Alexander Ludwig, Irina Popova
School closures are among the most controversial policies used to fight the pandemic, as their costs loom large. Prolonged teaching disruptions affect not only children’s learning outcomes but also their psychological and emotional development, with children from low socio-economic backgrounds particularly hurt (Engzell et al. 2020, Grenewig et al. 2020). School closures are also detrimental for the careers of parents who take on more educational responsibilities and have to reduce the number of hours worked (Fuchs-Schündeln et al. 2020). Since women typically shoulder most of the childcare responsibilities, school closures may also widen the gender wage gap (Alon et al. 2020). ....

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How to turn your dog's nap time into a regularized linear model

When you’re building a machine learning model you’re faced with the bias-variance tradeoff, where you have to find the balance between having a model that: Is very expressive and captures the real patterns in the data. Generates predictions that are not too far off from the actual values, A model that is very expressive has a low […]
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Statistical evidence of Dominion election fraud? It's time to audit the machines -- Society's Child -- Sott.net

Poll workers in Wisconsin Overview
Statistical analysis of past presidential races supports the view that in 2020, in counties where Dominion Machines were deployed, the voting outcomes were on average (nationwide) 1.5% higher for Joe Biden and 1.5% lower for Donald Trump after adjusting for other demographic and past voting preferences.
For Dominion to have switched the election from Trump to Biden, it would have had to have increased Biden outcomes (with a corresponding reduction in Trump outcomes) by 0.3% in Georgia, 0.6% in Arizona, 2.1% in Wisconsin, and 2.5% in Nevada. The apparent average of 1.5% Dominion Effect is greater than the margin in Arizona and Georgia, and close to the margin for Wisconsin and Nevada. It is not hard to picture a scenario where the actual effect in Wisconsin and Nevada was greater than the national average and would have changed the current reported outcome in those two states. ....

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