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Future Volatility in Stocks Will Be About Vaccines, Not a Blue Wave

Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
NYSE
Market volatility has cooled. If it reheats, it will have far more to do with the slow pace of vaccine distribution in the U.S. than the apparent blue wave in Congress.
The
Cboe Volatility Index,
or VIX, is falling as much as 11% on Wednesday as many stocks especially cyclical ones are rising, The
S&P 500
is up 1%. Falling volatility means a calmer market, or less price variance from the average price. With one Georgia Senate seat already going to Democratic candidate Raphael Warnock and the other likely to go to Democrat Jon Ossoff with 98% of the vote in, investors are now expecting heavy fiscal spending. That would spur economic activity and inflation. ....

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'Nasty' mix of factors threatens US recovery

‘Nasty’ mix of factors threatens US recovery
President-elect Joe Biden will hope Donald Trump s efforts to rile up supporters into more protests will not spook markets
2 January 2021 • 8:00pm
Threats of violent Washington protests, critical Senate elections and a stalling US jobs recovery threaten an “unsettling” start to 2021 for the world’s biggest economy, experts have warned.
Outgoing president Donald Trump has urged his supporters to the capital to demonstrate against the expected confirmation of November’s election result by Congress on Jan 6. Objections by Republicans echoing Mr Trump’s claims of electoral fraud will force votes in the Republican-controlled Senate and the Democrat-held House in a last-ditch bid to overturn the result. ....

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Stimulus, Politics and the Risk of More Lives Lost Ahead of Georgia's Senate Runoff — The Sacramento Observer

December 11, 2020 by NNPA
(NNPA) – Before the November election, politics prevented successful negotiations for a new coronavirus stimulus package.
One month later, politics continue to play a central theme in the still failing talks between Democrats and Republicans, with many on Capitol Hill pointing to the all-important Senate runoff elections scheduled to occur in early January that could tip the balance of power in the chamber.
“If both Georgia seats go Democrat, then I think the question then becomes not just how big is this bill, it’s how many additional big bills do we get?” Tom Porcelli, the chief U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets, recently told Fortune. ....

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Jump in initial jobless claims a sign of what's to come, economists say

Jump in initial jobless claims a sign of what's to come, economists say
bondbuyer.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from bondbuyer.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Tom Porcelli , Kevin Flanagan , Labor Department , டோம் போர்செல்லி , கெவின் ஃப்ல்யாநகந் , தொழிலாளர் துறை ,

The Economic Implications of Colossal Global Infrastructure Funding Deficit :: The Market Oracle ::

Unprecedented times call for unprecedented measures. As the saying goes, governments around the globe have taken drastic action to support their respective economies in the wake of the pandemic.
Within the first two months of the crisis, more than $10 trillion in relief packages were announced worldwide. This was three times more than the response to the 2008-2009 financial crisis.
As the leading world power, the US has already injected nearly 14% of last year’s GDP to rejuvenate its economy, according to Statista. This equates to about $3 trillion in money being printed.
Stimulus packages as a share of GDP. Credit: Statista ....

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