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professor markjit is an epidemiologist at the london school of hygiene and tropical medicine. he s also part of spi m, which provides disease modelling advice to the government. i suppose the first thing to ask you is whether that modelling suggests this pattern is going to continue, in other words the level of infection is going to remain where it is at the moment or whether you expected to rise further? definitely the number expected to rise further? definitely the number of expected to rise further? definitely the number of cases expected to rise further? definitely the number of cases is expected to rise further? definitely the number of cases is going - expected to rise further? definitely the number of cases is going to - expected to rise further? definitely| the number of cases is going to rise most of the level of infection is going to continue to rise over the summer. the big question is to what extent will the serious cases, the hospital admissions and the deaths, how fast will those rise? that is the really important question. at the really important question. at the really important question. at the moment i think deaths are up 10%. i think the 22% with the increase in cases but it was suggest it is at least a manageable figure