most times republicans tell you the early votes come out for the democrats. republicans tend to be more traditionalists. they vote on election day. can danny oh conner hold this lead in franklin county, and are these big percentages out in the rural areas for troy balderson -- you see the big percentages, especially here, a little more so over here. the percentages are great. is the math enough? are enough rural republicans coming out to vote tonight to offset at least what early on is a big dan anyway o'connor advantage, down here, near columbus, as you noted, in the suburbs where the people live. >> let's do it this way. as you see the numbers change in an impressive way, get in high ear. i'll come right back to you. let's bring in cnn chief political correspondent dana bash and chief political analyst gloria borger. we've got both of you here. it's great to get both of your minds on the idea of the distinction between politics and policy. dana, starting with you here, by historical measure, ohio should not be a race. you can't find a metric that is positive for the democrats going into this, and yet you got danny