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Ed Kilgore Jul 09, 2021 9:20 PM ET Our stark divisions are so painful that it’s tempting to blame them on elites — on the media, who are thought to promote conflict to make a buck, and the political leaders seeking to energize followers by demonizing the opposition and refusing to compromise. But the idea of a unity-seeking citizenry being frustrated by partisan gabbers and pols simply isn’t accurate. And the fact that a change of administration has barely reduced partisan conflict is telling. It’s not just about Trump, as Emory University’s Alan Abramowitz explains in a soon-to-be-...

America's partisan fireworks will be hard for anyone to put out CNN 3 hrs ago Analysis by Ronald Brownstein © Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters President Joe Biden delivers remarks at the White House at a celebration of Independence Day. While July Fourth is the holiday that most directly celebrates Americans' common heritage, this year it comes as their extreme divides underscore how difficult it has become for any president to set a unified direction for the country. From vaccination rates to voting rights, from immigration policy to racial equity, blue and red states are hurtli...

Conventional wisdom -- and history -- points to a disappointing 2022 at the ballot box for Democrats. 

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— National House generic ballot polling can be a useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections.— The president’s party often loses ground in midterms, but the magnitude of those losses varies greatly depending on the national political environment and the seats held by each party prior to the election.— A model using the generic ballot and seat exposure shows that a single digit lead on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the Senate. Given the expected impact of redistricting, however, Democr...

Abortion: A culture war with real consequences is coming CNN 1 hr ago Analysis by Ronald Brownstein © Andrea Morales/The New York Times/Redux In this May 21, 2019, file photo, activists demonstrate for and against abortion rights in front of the Mississippi state Capitol in Jackson. One of the original culture war conflicts may be poised for a resurgence -- with potentially explosive political consequences. The Supreme Court's recent decision to consider the legality of Mississippi's restrictive law prohibiting abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy could trigger the most ...