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Andrea Mitchell Reports

striking distance of former president trump. her hope here in iowa, andrea, is to be able to notch a strong second place finish so she can knock desantis effectively out of the contest and underscore the narrative that she's been trying to establish this entire time, which is that it's haley versus trump heading into new hampshire. >> ali, thanks so much for setting it up. joining us now is the governor of new hampshire who is a major supporter of nikki haley. governor, welcome. good to see you. >> thank you. good to see you. >> in our new nbc news poll as we've just been saying, nikki hail will has moved into second place. that's the good news. the bad news is when you dig deeper into that poll, only 9% of her supporters are extremely enthusiastic about her. ann -- >> there's only two people who set expectations for iowa.

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

we haven't talked about it much. governor kim reynolds. she has an operation. she endorsed him. she's in a position if he doesn't come in second of looking really, really bad. my guess is he goes silent for a few days and we hear from him in florida saying he's suspending his campaign. >> and jan, iowa has -- chosen the gop nominee in more than two decades. i guess the last person to win iowa republican caucus winner to go on and get the nomination was george a lot of losing candidates in the past. why is this different at all given that donald trump was previously president? how important is it tonight for the race ahead and what if he goes over 50%? does that lock it up? >> i think if he goes over 50%, that's a big sign of strength. what i think about is look at the next eight weeks, andrea.

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

selfless service. he has a record of accomplishment. >> i'm not a trump fan. nikki haley has a lot of good points. >> trump is our guy. >> why? >> promises made, promises kept. >> i hear them say we're going to secure the border. trump did that. we're going to fix the economy. well, trump did that. i'd probably vote for him if he's in jail. >> and we have certainly heard trump's name as the first choice in this county more than anyone else that we heard in talking to caucusgoers and if donald trump can win here in sioux county and wrap up the vote in some of these rural, conservative counties, it could be a sign of how the sta is going to go tonight. andrea? >> garrett, "the new york times" reporting thamp is picking up support from college educated conservatives. in michael bender's story today, he writes quote their surge toward the former president appears to stem largely from a reaction to the current political climate rather than a sudden clambering to join the

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

nikki haley today and part of that may be because he has a robust ground operation on the ground game here. nikki haley is pulling in second. the weather going to be a big factor. enthusiasm. are those caucusgoers going to turn out? and i will also say how often have we heard a candidate before the caucus saying they're going to stay in it through the long haul then a week later that changes. so we will certainly be watching to see what happens tonight and of course, he's heading to south carolina after iowa and then also planning to campaign in new hampshire. but the race is still on for now. andrea? >> priscilla and garrett, thanks so much for setting the stage there and the poll position. stay with us. in just 60 seconds, mark murray will be with us with everything you need to know about the new nbc news des moines register poll. what we expect from the first in the nation iowa republican caucuses tonight. e first in the nation iowa republican caucuses tonight ns can occur, even days after using.

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

negativity and grievances of the past. the better choice for a better america? nikki haley. >> she doesn't even mention desantis. >> why should she? again, andrea, it's a two-person race. no one's thinking about ron. he's not playing in new hampshire. he's going to get crushed in south carolina and this win he promised in iowa is not coming to fruition and he's falling way behind. when you see that ad, you see donald trump holding up a bible. looks like the guy has never held the good book before. when you look at what nikki has brought to the table from conservative values, what she's done for south carolina, her understanding of international issues and most importantly, she gets it done. we can all agree on policy, but nikki has a record of always getting things done. working with congress to secure the border. working on health reform. this is where voters finally

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

and what is she saying about her second place challenger? >> they're brushing off concern, andrea, about low enthusiasm even though that could be one of the soft spots in her support. it's probably going to be essential to have supporters with enthusiasm to even get out in these elements, but while the campaign is brushing that off, they're also brushing off the focus of ron desantis in north carolina, new hampshire and nevada. haley being clear when i asked her about his strategy about going to south carolina next. this is what she said. watch. >> i mean, he's only played in iowa, he's invisible in new hampshire. in south carolina. he's fourth and fifth place in both of those. i welcome him to south carolina but we're headed to new hampshire. that's the next state to vote. somebody might want to tell him that. >> and of course, nikki haley herself heavily focused on new hampshire because there are some polls that show her there within

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in this poll where he's candidate who has by far the most enthusiastic supporters. these folks are telling me they want to come out to just show him they're supporting him and they understand the importance of showing up tonight to caucus for him. this caucus unlike in 2016 where donald trump came in second, they have the infrastructure in place, the sort of serious campaign operation to capture that support that's always been there for him. his team believes and turn it into actual caucusgoers who will put them over the top. perhaps by that historic margin later tonight. >> and priscilla thompson is standing by. in 2016, mr. trump only carried 11% of the ultra conservative sioux county. you're there today. he's since won over evangelicals. what would it mean if trump scores big in rural iowa? >> yeah, andrea. and to put a fine point on it, former president trump performed the worst in this county in 2016, but as you noted, since then, he's really galvanized

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

tonight's iowa caucuses could be a contest of how big dold trump's lead is. according to the latest polling, donald trump has nearly a 30 point lead over his nearest challenger. 28 points. and could end up with more than 50% of the vote. joining us now from des moines is mark murray and the founder and ed for of the bullwork, charlie sykes. mark, just 32% of republican caucusgoers say they're extremely enthusiastic. but nearly half of trump supporters say that about him. considering the blustery cold, the winds in iowa today, the snow. what could these numbers mean for haley and desantis? >> andrea, these numbers could be the entire ball game given the weather conditions that are out there and also do note that

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Daniel Kelly's mum Andrea on lessons from son's Karioitahi drowning death

Almost nine months ago, Andrea Kelly’s teenage son Daniel drowned at Karioitahi Beach - with his body never found. The grief, says the Pāpāmoa mum, is...

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Andrea Mitchell Reports

>> reporter: what a group you've got. i can't wait to hear what they have to say as well. this was a long anticipated move. it was anticipated, i think even by the houthis. i spoke to a houthi leader a few days ago, one of the top three in the command structure there, that they would face some sort of retaliation for attacking commercial ships in the red sea. it's such a provocative action that it was anticipated, widely anticipated that there would be a military action. last night, we saw it. across the arab world today we are seeing something of a muted response. we are seeing some calls for caution some calls for restraint, even from saudi arabia, which does not support the houthis at all, supports the government that the houthis threw out of power. turkey expressed some concerns. we are hearing complaints from

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