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Libya's parliament reaches out to Ankara leaving Gen. Hifter in the cold - Al-Monitor: The Pulse of the Middle East

The recent visit by a Libyan parliamentary delegation to Ankara might indicate a serious rift between eastern Libya’s allies forcing Gen. Khalifa Hifter to reconsider his choices.

Sirte , Sha-biyat-surt , Libya , Al-karama , Dubayy , United-arab-emirates , Egypt , Ankara , Turkey , Syria , Tripoli , Tarabulus

What has Libya's uncelebrated ceasefire achieved?

We have just passed the first anniversary of the Libyan ceasefire agreement signed in Geneva last October, which brought to an end one of the bloodiest episodes in the country's recent history, apar...

Germany , Moscow , Moskva , Russia , Cairo , Al-qahirah , Egypt , Sirte , Sha-biyat-surt , Libya , Niger , Chad

CrisisWatch: September Alerts and August Trends 2021

CrisisWatch: September Alerts and August Trends 2021
crisisgroup.org - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from crisisgroup.org Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Afghanistan , Mali , Dambam , Bauchi , Nigeria , Niger , Gorgadji , Region-du-sahel , Burkina-faso , Mouhoun , Region-de-la-boucle-du-mouhoun , Songo

CrisisWatch: July Alerts and June Trends 2021

CrisisWatch: July Alerts and June Trends 2021
crisisgroup.org - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from crisisgroup.org Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Burkina-faso , Solhan , Region-du-sahel , Nord , Cameroon , Mali , World-bank , District-of-columbia , United-states , Niger , France , Tillabery

CrisisWatch: June Alerts and May Trends 2021

The International Crisis Group is an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict

Menzourou , Region-du-sahel , Burkina-faso , Adjarara , Cameroon , Kodyel , Region-del-est , Kidal , Mali , Mopti , Tillabery , Tillabé

CrisisWatch: May Alerts and April Trends 2021

April 2021
Tensions continued to mount among Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt ahead of Addis Ababa’s planned second unilateral filling of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in coming months. In apparent warning to Addis Ababa and preparation for possible escalation of inter-state tensions, Sudan and Egypt 31 March-5 April held second joint military exercise since Nov 2020. New round of talks among Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan on filling and operation of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on Blue Nile river broke down 6 April. Cairo same day denounced Ethiopia’s “lack of political will to negotiate in good faith”, while Khartoum vowed to “consider all possible options to protect its security”, denouncing Addis Ababa’s rejection of its proposal for quadripartite mediation by AU, EU, UN and U.S. to break deadlock in AU-led negotiations. Ethiopia’s water minister Seleshi Bekele 7 April said Addis Ababa would proceed with second filling of dam during forthcoming rainy season between June and Sept. Sudan and Egypt 10 April declined Ethiopia’s offer to share data about second filling, reiterating need for legally binding agreement on dam’s operation. Sudan 12 April and Egypt next day called on UN Security Council to encourage Ethiopia to refrain from filling GERD unilaterally before parties reach agreement. Sudanese PM Abdallah Hamdok 13 April called for closed-door meeting with Egyptian and Ethiopian counterparts in bid to break deadlock; Ethiopia 21 April declined Hamdok’s proposal, same day proposed AU-sponsored meeting to end stalemate. Following Hamdok’s 5 April meeting with U.S. Sec State Antony Blinken and Egyptian FM Sameh Shoukry’s 12 April meeting with Russian FM Sergey Lavrov, Ethiopian FM Demeke Mekonnen 15 April denounced “politicising and internationalising” of dispute. Sudanese Irrigation Minister Yasir Abbas 23 April said Sudan may sue Ethiopia in international courts if it goes ahead with plan to fill GERD unilaterally.

Burkina-faso , Seytenga , Region-du-sahel , Yatenga , Region-du-plateau-central , Ankara , Turkey , Farabougou , Koulikoro , Mali , Kidal , Tessalit

CrisisWatch: March Alerts and February Trends 2021

February 2021
Criminal groups abducted hundreds in north west, while ethnic and regional tensions ran high in south amid farmer-herder conflict; meanwhile, tensions rose in south east between govt and Biafra secessionists. Criminal groups in Feb reportedly killed at least 112 and kidnapped over 450 people, mostly in Katsina, Kaduna, Sokoto and Zamfara states (north west), but also in Niger state (Middle Belt). Notably, armed group 17 Feb abducted 42 students and school personnel in Niger state, released them 27 Feb; 26 Feb kidnapped 279 girls in Zamfara state. Meanwhile, Auwalun Daudawa, who masterminded Dec 2020 abduction of 344 students in Katsina state, 8 Feb laid down arms along with five of his troops. Amid rise in herder-farmer and intercommunal violence in south since Jan, clashes between ethnic Hausa and Fulani on one hand, and ethnic Yoruba on the other, early Feb killed two dozen people in Oyo state capital Ibadan (south west). Nobel laureate in literature Wole Soyinka 6 Feb warned situation could spiral into civil war and former President Abdulsalam Abubakar 16 Feb said it could lead to “point of no return”. In Imo state (south east), security forces stepped up operations against Eastern Security Network (ESN), paramilitary wing of outlawed secessionist group Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB); army 18 Feb deployed helicopters and hundreds of troops in Orlu and Orsu areas, razing several ESN camps; IPOB same day said govt had triggered “second Nigeria-Biafra war”. Boko Haram (BH) attacks continued in Borno state (north east) despite military operations. Army 9-10 Feb repelled insurgent attacks on base in Rann town and on Askira Uba town, killing at least 50 combatants. BH splinter group Islamic State West Africa Province 15 Feb killed at least seven soldiers in Marte area; next day launched coordinated attacks in Marte and Gubio areas, death toll unknown; 19 Feb raided several villages in Dikwa area, displacing thousands. BH rocket attack on state capital Maiduguri 23 Feb reportedly left 16 dead. Military 15 Feb said troops had killed some 80 insurgents from BH faction led by Abubakar Shekau (JAS) in “recent” operations in Sambisa forest; at least two senior JAS figures reportedly among those killed.

Markoye , Region-du-sahel , Burkina-faso , Yagha , Sanmatenga , Region-du-centre-nord , Cameroon , Mopti , Mali , France , Niger , Ouallam