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Than they should be and have been because it's all relative. he looks so much more presidential of how he presents himself in debates. when people are reminded about all the baggage that bridgette is talking about, it drags him down and reminds people he's unelectable and can't win a general election against president obama and that ultimately, i think being will be his undoing. >> so far, last comment, john, is florida and south carolina he's up by a wide margin. does that change if he doesn't win in new hampshire and iowa? >> absolutely, we tend to like the favorites. if that changes and as ...

Be effective. it's an effective defense. i think the interesting thing in iowa is negative and nasty usually doesn't play very well. it hurt howard dean and dick gephardt in 2004 when john kerry was able to run up the middle. to the certain extent, there's that potential in iowa with someone like rick perry, right, who's had a lot of trouble. >> in double figures now. >> staying mostly positive, touring the state. appealing to social conservatives. he, i think, is going to outperform expectations. and in a very crowded field get a ticket to new hampshire. >> back to newt, if we can, bridgette....

>> john as an attorney in new jersey who is an assemblyman and leader, do you think that newt gingrich has so much wrong or so much experience and so much life experience that makes him very effective at 68 years old? >> well, first, negative works. only thing bad about going negative is going negative second. when you've been in congress for that long, there's a lot of baggage. you've taken a lot of votes. this negative stuff works and it's going to continue. he's on a downward slide and i don't think he recovers from it. >> unlike herman cain, bridgette, i think he can bounce back because he...

People. this is about the american people. and whether they win. it's not about a contest between politicians. >> really? but will this really be a loss for the speaker because it clearly is a win for the president. here to weigh in for our -- with our political panel, we have a great one. democratic strategist and president of gotham writers. bridgette harrison is here, professor of political science at montclair state university and john bramick is here, attorney assemblyman. do you like the way this panned out, john? >> in the end, yes, the tax break was continued. the speaker got his caucu...

your bottoms. >> there you go. it happens. we have three full hours planned and we're going to start things out right now with some headlines. >> thank you very much for that introduction. >> if you were hoping for a white christmas, you could actually get your wish. nearly half of the country is getting slammed with snow or ice at this hour. this is video from boulder, colorado, people there seeing up to 30 inches of the white stuff and that's not really that great there. let's head south to new mexico where folks there are seeing snow and tense winds and you can bet the winter is w...