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KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE-- Based on presidential voting patterns, a much larger proportion of U.S. House districts strongly favor one party and a much smaller proportion are closely divided than 50 years ago.-- However, gerrymandering is not the major reason for this trend. Partisan polarization has increased dramatically in U.S. states and counties, whose boundaries have not changed.-- Moreover, despite the growing partisan divide evident in presidential voting, the competitiveness of House elections has changed very little over the past 5 decades because the personal advantage of incumbe...

The country seems more polarized than ever. Here’s what that means for the next election

Decision makers need to address the framework of their traditional hiring processes and update them with hybrid hiring strategies.

Voting procedures, turnout, and vote margins in the 2020 election.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— In the aftermath of the high-turnout 2020 election, many Republican-controlled state governments have passed legislation that Democrats believe will harm their party’s voter turnout.— However, voting rules did not appear to have much impact on turnout and had no measurable impact on vote margins at the state level in the 2020 presidential election.— Both voter turnout and voting decisions in 2020 were driven by the strong preferences held by the large majority of voters between the major par...

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— National House generic ballot polling can be a useful tool in projecting the overall results of House and Senate elections.— The president’s party often loses ground in midterms, but the magnitude of those losses varies greatly depending on the national political environment and the seats held by each party prior to the election.— A model using the generic ballot and seat exposure shows that a single digit lead on the generic ballot would give Democrats a good chance to keep control of the Senate. Given the expected impact of redistricting, however, Democr...