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We said tuesday night we knew there would be an effort to count votes that will extend through the week, and now was not the time to get ahead of ourselves. This is how the electoral process is supposed to work. These votes are being counted that were cast in places like arizona. Stage votes were people dropped off ballots on election day. They were set aside, there love the last ones to count, they have a different look to them than the ones cast in advance of the election. We see joe bidens lead diminishing in arizona. In pennsylvania, they set aside all of the early votes and counted the election day votes first, which looked good for donald trump. Now they are counting those ballots that came in later through the electoral vote process, through the early vote process, and it looks much better for joe biden. Until the votes are done, this election is incredibly close, just like in 2016 we have to be patient to decide who the end is. I would say all indication in each of these open s ....
And surrounding counties are playing a large role in this National Drama as the votes are being counted. Right now, as expected, joe biden has taken the lead. I think that we will continue to build. I dont think there is any drama about that. Most of us who have been in politics know exactly what those mailin ballots will yield. Right now, it looks like joe biden will broaden his lead in pennsylvania. David we want to count all the ballots, we all agree with that, but we heard joe say it is pointing in one direction. We spoke with ed rendell yesterday, and he said he things it will be an 80,000 margin for joe biden. As a political scientist, does that sound plausible . Jeanne i think it does. Joe biden could win with an even larger margin than donald trump won pennsylvania in 2016. The number he gave you yesterday sounds about right. We know the ballots being counted now, absentee mailin ballots, are going in the 70, 80 range for ....
Going to know where we are tuesday night. Lets call it less than likely. Maybe somebody can disagree with me on that. We will go into wednesday and may go into november to get to a successful outcome. Jonathan that is the risk of this market, and it has been for the last couple of months. The other issue this market is grappling with at the moment is the breakdown of traditional correlations. Last week was brutal for the equity work it the equity market. Youve got no comfort for the bond market. Tom bonds really dont move today. It is a higher yield into the weekend. A less than correlated market. I would note the absolute stasis in strong dollar. Dxy, that blended Company Index against the dollar, 94. 03. That is a strong dollar. Jonathan weve got to talk about the weaker euro over last week as well. The Economic Data in europe set. To get worst. We have manufacturing set to g ....
Struggle with a contested election, and i dont think we with a delayed or contested election come i dont the queen of the interest to that. Guy unresolved contested election, and i dont think we know the answers to that. Guy unresolved issues. Services come in, and it is a miss. Just reinforcing the idea that maybe as the virus numbers continue to pick up in the United States, the Services Sector will feel that, and just reinforces the idea that may be of this trajectory continues lower, we will need more stimulus. That is looking a little bit more down right now. Alix and the number of tremulous of stimulus is much less likely now. The president ial election does remain too close to call, and a could stay that way for days. Joe biden leading in the Electoral College at the moment, taking the lead in michigan, wiscons ....