2021 NFL Draft Sleepers
Identifying a sleeper QB in any draft is exceptionally long odds. Over the last ten drafts, only four quarterbacks picked after the third round delivered top 20 QB seasons: Gardner Minshew, Dak Prescott, Kirk Cousins, and Tyrod Taylor. All four reached that level of success with a measurable level of rushing production. Cousins came in on the low end, with 10% of his points from his breakout season in 2015 coming via the rushing game. On the opposite end, Tyrod Taylor had an eye-opening 29% of his production via the run game in the same season, which saw him land as QB8. Newman had a rocky 20...