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Thank you, jeff. Im honored to moderate this panel with four dear friends and valued colleagues. There is a concern afoot that as a moderator i might let it go to my head and try to interject myself too much in the discussion. So i will sit down there while they make their presentations and will come back up here during the actual q a time. You have the detailed bios of the speakers in your program so i will not repeat those first is professor richard emerman. His bio says he recent retired from temple university. I know richard well. Richard does not know the meaning of the word retirement. We are Close Friends and collaborators and the state Department Historical Advisory Council and he continues to be active as a scholar and mentor and is an active citizen in the guild of National Security sc ....
We are thrilled to have the panel of four here including our author Charles Barber and instead of listening to me talk were going to getstarted. First up is ivan cusick. Is nice to be here in new haven. My name is ivan cusick. I want a criminal Justice Research agency. Well, unit for the state of connecticut. Thank you. I want a Small Research unit syndicated to understanding the criminal Justice Systemin the state of connecticut. I work for the office of policy and management and one of my responsibilities is to look hard at the present system and to reduce recidivism studies and other studies related to people coming out of connecticut presence over time. And ive been doing these studiesfor about 10 years for the state of connecticut. And one thing that ive kind ....
There are lots of different scenarios and several candidates who have enough support . The state that its showing up. One of the things i would want to caution people and say some of the other people here on the panel can talk about this is that survey work is very ifficult these days. I think it is interesting that diane was exactly right, the three top polling are white men, and two qualified women running. Im curious how it will shake out. Im curious heavy second choice picks will come, because there is support for booker, for yang, for klobuchar. Where they go can have a big impact. If they all go to warren, this is a fourway tie. If they all go to biden, it is a runaway victory for biden, so the second place will have a big impact on the final results. Explain why the second place showing in a poll is important to what will happen on caucus night . When i say secondplace, i mean their second choice at the precinct. So, for those of you on the democratic side who havent done this b ....
President trump holds a keep America Great rally in toledo, ohio. Watch live this evening on cspan 2, online at cspan. Org, or listen live with the cspan radio app. Next, a panel of political analysts on their predictions for iowas first in the nation president ial caucuses. This was held in des moines. Id like to have everybody take their seats, please. And id also like to reconvene our Panel Discussion on the history and handicap in the 2020 Iowa Caucuses. We had a great discussion in the first hour about the history of these events. We may come back to some of the themes we were talking about there. But in this hour, i want our scholars to focus on the current caucus race and how they see the race unfolding, whos ahead, whos behind. To aid in that discussion im going to report we have breaking news. Cbs poll just out ....
Cbs news butte in iowa. Buttigieg also 23 . I was right, three white guys. Yes, you were. I want to start, and i will start with you, how do you see this race . You watch it from your perch in misery. How do you see this contest . I am watching it from far and i have no greater insight than if i was immersed in it right now. I just noticed the cbs poll. It seems consistent with the impression i had, which is we really dont know what will happen. There are a lot of different scenarios and several candidates who clearly seem to have enough support in the state that it is showing up, but one of the things i would want to caution people, david and some of the other people on the panel can talk about this survey work is very difficult these days. It is difficult to get people to respond, it is difficult because of land lines and cell phones, is difficult to predict who will show up on caucus night, and if you have weather like today, turnout may be great, and if weather is terrible, which i ....