BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024
Not a good sign. Everyone is kind of getting out of its way. The bond market seems to be concerned about a recession. The bond market is telling you it is a very dark outlook. Its not just about growth, and its about the lower bound, the potential qe, potentially lower forward guidance. They will have to step up to the mark. Whether that is the right plan or not, they are going to zero. The u. S. , unfortunately, will be dragged down more toward europe. The rates market has at least another 25 basis points it could go. There are so many assumptions that are being repriced now. Be careful out t...