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Is going to be, mary? i think it will be october november. i don t see rishi sunak calling it for may. i mean, he s the prime minister, he can call it when he wishes. i mean, everyone thinks it s - going to be november the 14th. and in terms of public opinion, final thought on the election. we had, of course, the famous brenda from bristol thing, you know, not not another one of a few years ago. but is there a sense now in the polling and the focus groups that people want an election sooner rather than later? yeah, i think when you ask people explicitly, would you like an election now? and there s been polling data to back this up, about two thirds of people say not even right now, but yes, we d like one early. we don t want to wait till sort of winter this year. we don t want to, you know, have another year of this. i don t think it s yet a clamouring, people absolutely desperate to do it. and i think they d rather just get it done with. well, it s interesting, and it will be along ....
But the parties have actually got kind of bigger fish to fry. scarlett, talk to us about these by elections and what we may or may not be able to read into them, given where the national opinion polls are. yes, i think we learnt a huge amount from the by elections last year actually, and i think they were, taking alongside the sort of very commanding labour lead in the intention polls, they did show that keir starmer is on course for majority in lots of different types of constituencies and i think particularly interested, you know, chris skidmore is actually not even going to exist in the next. in kingswood. exactly, but i think the wellingborough by election is going to be very interesting. you know, it s one of those sort of 100 odd constituencies where ukip came second in 2015. and actually, i think the difference now is we had a sort of tamworth by election where reform underperformed their national voting intention polls at the time but still managed to deprive the conservatives ....
Hello, scarlett. hello. we have mary creagh, former labour mp, and standing again in this election in coventry east. standing for selection at the moment. - so it s in the hands of the labour party members. 0k. and alsojoining us, the former conservative culture minister, lord ed vaizey. hello. let s pick up where robertjenrick left off. robertjenrick contends, scarlett, that immigration is number two or three in terms of voter concerns as we approach the general election. from a pollster s point of view, is he right? if you take voters as a whole, it s in the top three issues behind the economy and health. so nhs. crucially, for conservative 2019 voters, it is the most important issue. and we ve seen that sort of tick up since last summer, so it overtook the economy then. but even with voters as a whole, it s slowly creeping up. i don t want to interrupt, but conservative 2019 i means red wall voters? no, conservative 2019 voters are anyone who cast their vote for the conservative pa ....