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Posted 5 hours agoSharePrint Wall Street could see more volatility during a very busy trading week that is filled with a wrath of central bank decisions, surging international COVID-19 cases, solid economic data, effects of stimulus working its way through the economy, and pent-up consumer demand.  Financial markets are edge, especially considering how quickly stocks sold off following news of the White House plans for capital gains tax.  A lot of the good news has been priced in for the US and some investors are focusing on Europe’s recovery potential. The Fed will likely stay the course...

Week Ahead: Rising Treasury Yields will make this an interesting FOMC decision March 12, 2021SharePrint The bond market seems determined to make this an interesting FOMC policy decision.  Treasury yields have been surging after the Biden administration passed the $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill and set a May 1 st goal of getting vaccines to all adults.  The Fed welcomes a steeper yield curve, but the current trajectory could be disruptive to the economic recovery.  Market participants want to know how quickly do yields need to rise to raise concerns of tighter conditions or trigger disorde...

US It seems Wall Street is much more confident about the economic recovery than the Fed and if we see a better-than-expected employment report that could deepen the bond market selloff.  The US nonfarm payroll report for February is expected to show a 133,000 gain in jobs, which would be an improvement over the 49,000 increase in January.  Risk appetite will continue to react closely to what happens in the bond market and more importantly with Fed speak.  The surge in Treasury yields has yet to become a significant risk for the Fed, but that won’t be the case if the current trajectory in...

Feb 17, 2021 19:47 GMTFXStreet News WTI has recovered from a brief dip as low as $59.50 and is moving back towards $61.00. Crude oil traders continue to focus on weather-related output disruptions in the US and on OPEC+ commentary. Front-month futures contracts for the American benchmark for sweet light crude oil, West Texas Intermediary (or WTI), momentarily fell back as low as the $59.50 mark on Wednesday. Amid a lack of catalysts, crude oil markets had experienced a sharp sell-off at the start of CME pit trading hours (14:00GMT). However, as has happened now three times in the past 36 hour...

US The two big data releases for the US will be the ISM manufacturing and the employment report.  The ISM manufacturing reading is expected to show a small decline in January.  The US nonfarm payroll report is supposed to show a rebound of 50,000 jobs in January, but it will be difficult as optimism is low for any signs of a rebound in leisure and hospitality jobs.    US Politics A busy week in DC will have investors following every incremental update on the COVID relief bill and whether Treasury Secretary Yellen will tweak the strategy with debt issuance.  On the stimulus front, lawmak...