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A tortured timeline: The ups and downs of the Kemp-Trump relationship

A tortured timeline: The ups and downs of the Kemp-Trump relationship
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Incumbency vs Environment in 2022 s Gubernatorial Races Rating changes in four races

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Amid a promising national environment for Republicans, we are changing ratings in 4 gubernatorial contests 3 of which are in the GOP’s favor. The power of gubernatorial incumbency will be tested in 2022, both by a plethora of Republican primary challengers to sitting GOP governors and, for Democrats, by the national political climate in next year’s general election. This election will feature a relatively high number of incumbents running for reelection compared to many previous midterm years (midterms are when the bulk of the gubernatorial elections are held). Despite playing defense in many vulnerable races across the country, Democrats have the 2 clearest gubernatorial pickup opportunities.

Incumbency vs Environment in 2022 s Gubernatorial Races Rating changes in four races

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE Amid a promising national environment for Republicans, we are changing ratings in 4 gubernatorial contests 3 of which are in the GOP’s favor. The power of gubernatorial incumbency will be tested in 2022, both by a plethora of Republican primary challengers to sitting GOP governors and, for Democrats, by the national political climate in next year’s general election. This election will feature a relatively high number of incumbents running for reelection compared to many previous midterm years (midterms are when the bulk of the gubernatorial elections are held). Despite playing defense in many vulnerable races across the country, Democrats have the 2 clearest gubernatorial pickup opportunities.

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