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Zapad 2021 and the Future of Russia's Force Presence in Belarus


June 15, 2021, 9:00-10:00am
Online
Join the Center for Strategic and International Studies for a discussion on the implications of Russia and Belarus conducting their quadrennial exercise “Zapad-2021.”
In September, Russia and Belarus will conduct their quadrennial exercise, “Zapad-2021,” to demonstrate the readiness and capabilities of Russia’s Western Military District. This exercise is being closely monitored following Russia’s recent mobilization of an estimated 100,000 troops along Ukraine’s border and within Crimea. Although the Kremlin announced a troop drawdown on April 22, substantial military equipment remained behind for use during Zapad. This exercise will be critical to understanding the potentially permanent shifts in Russia’s military deployments and posture in Belarus following the flawed 2020 Belarusian election, Lukashenko regime’s repressive tactics and the recent air high-jacking of a civilian airline to ar ....

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Improve NATO's Black Sea Maritime Posture Through Operation Sea Guardian | Center for International Maritime Security


By Colin Barnard 
In a recent article for CIMSEC, I proposed three ways to improve U.S. maritime posture in Europe, including the forward basing of small surface combatants in the Baltic and Barents Seas. Due to the Montreux Convention, however, only littoral states are able to base warships in the Black Sea, which excludes the United States and all but three NATO members: Romania, Bulgaria, and Turkey. Recognizing this limitation and others on overall NATO maritime posture in the region, Russia has invested heavily in expanding and modernizing its Black Sea Fleet to maintain a position of relative strength in the region and ensure its unfettered access to sea lanes, which it has used in recent years to continue its destabilization of Ukraine and Georgia and resupply its forces in Syria and Libya (the latter in violation of UN sanction regimes).  ....

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