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Week Ahead - BOE and RBA rate decisions in focus; US April NFP report could show over a million jobs created - MarketPulse


April 30, 2021SharePrint
Everyone on Wall Street is trying to figure out if the peak in Treasury yields will stick for a while now that the US is approaching peak growth. The best expansion since World War 2 is being accompanied with a Fed that remains committed to supporting the economy until a complete recovery. The playbook for many traders appears to be the Fed could announce at the June FOMC or at the Jackson Hole Symposium that they are ready to start talking about tapering, paving the way for a gradual reduction of the $120 billion per month in asset purchases.
Another busy week ahead has several key economic releases, central bank speak, and a couple of big interest rate decisions. In the US, traders will closely watch the ISM Manufacturing reading and Market PMIs, durable goods, factory orders, and the nonfarm payroll report, which could show over a million jobs were created in April. We will hear from ECB’s Lagarde, Fed Chair Powell and his colleagues Daly, ....

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Распоряжение Правительства РФ от 27 февраля 2021 г. N 497-р Об утверждении перечня групп потребительских товаров и услуг, относящихся к сфере ведения федеральных органов исполнительной власти для целей анализа причин роста потребительских цен и выработки мер экономического регулирования, направленных на обеспечение сбалансированности рынков потребительских товаров и услуг

Распоряжение Правительства РФ от 27 февраля 2021 г. N 497-р Об утверждении перечня групп потребительских товаров и услуг, относящихся к сфере ведения федеральных органов исполнительной власти для целей анализа причин роста потребительских цен и выработки мер экономического регулирования, направленных на обеспечение сбалансированности рынков потребительских товаров и услуг
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Week Ahead - Rising yields spook markets - MarketPulse


US
It seems Wall Street is much more confident about the economic recovery than the Fed and if we see a better-than-expected employment report that could deepen the bond market selloff.  The US nonfarm payroll report for February is expected to show a 133,000 gain in jobs, which would be an improvement over the 49,000 increase in January. 
Risk appetite will continue to react closely to what happens in the bond market and more importantly with Fed speak.  The surge in Treasury yields has yet to become a significant risk for the Fed, but that won’t be the case if the current trajectory in yields continue.  The Fed will jawbone or possibly deliver some action soon since real yields are probably much higher at this point in the cycle than what they would be comfortable with.    ....

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