cancun, a 90% chance of it developing into a tropical cyclone here, likely over the weekend, as it gets into the gulf of mexico. more tranquil conditions there, we'll wind it up. heavy rain expected. unlikely to be a hurricane. something hybrid-y, but definitely a lot of rain, five inches likely through the weekend. kind of stalling, maybe more, through midweek, and likely some flooding, tom. >> and rob, we mentioned this earlier, they released their forecast for this year of hurricanes, and it's going to be a very active season. >> reporter: hopefully not as active as last season, but yeah, likely to be more active than usual. named storms, 10 to 16, hurricanes, anywhere from 5 to 9, noaa says. and major hurricanes, 1 to 4. can't say how many of those will impact land, but as we know, it only takes one, tom. >> just an outlook, but you're right. rob, thank you so much. next, to a horrible incident on a boulevard in tamp police say a mother pushing her child in a stroller wast by two cars racing on the street. the mom did not survive. and tonight, her little girl is clinging to life. here's abc's victor oquendo. >> reporter: tonight, this toddler, lillia, just 21 months old, is fighting for her life,