Good? Bad? Ugly? We've updated our take on what's next for the epidemic.
Let's try this again.
Last month, I explored one of the most common questions of 2020 (and 2021): "When will life get back to 'normal'?"
While I couldn't suggest a specific date when normality will return, I used my background researching the health care industry to identify three distinct scenarios—the "good," the "bad," and the "ugly"—and offered probabilities for each one based on the best available data I had at the time. But a lot has changed in four weeks. We've seen promising new data about vaccine efficacy; we've seen more viral variants take hold; and just last week, we saw a third vaccine receive