were pro vladmir putin. it is conventional to be sort of antagonistic towards russia. having a good policy process, a strategy, if you are going to change the policy, that's not convention. that's just good government. so you have to sort of separate the russia/u.s. history from the idea that we have a system of alliances, a system of policies. it is about to undergo a major change. that seems clear. let's do it in a thoughtfulwa w. that was the other message president obama gave donald trump directly. >> good government and good old-fashioned common sense. >> ideally. >> julienne, yan, you are the hn here. there are lots of reasons the soviet union fell, guns and butter, money, right? right now, we are looking at oil prices, which do tend to determine the strength of the russian economy. oil prices are low. how much is that going to factor