texas, and florida flip and they become democratic states. all you have to do is add in california, which we know is very liberal, new york, which we know is very liberal, and you are only 103 electoral vote as way from being the president of the united states. that's with only a handful of states. >> let's continue to talk about mississippi. i want to bring harry in. does espy have a path to victory right now? >> i don't see it based upon everything that i'm seeing that. shouldn't be a huge surprise, right? the polling average heading into this runoff had hyde-smith leading by mid single digits. based upon the votes left out, we should see espy close the gap. but look at the results that occurred earlier this month. you try and predict them based on whether or not the incumbent is running. that would have predicted hyde-smith would win by seven percentage points and that's looking like what we'll end up at this point. >> you are the political forecaster but just to me as a