first question on everybody's mind right now is will the government shut down. a lot of traders i spoke to are surprisingly optimistic hoping washington will come to its senses and pull us back from the ledge. second question equally important is if there is a shutdown, how long will it last. citigroup analysts estimate one-week shutdown will reduce quart lit economic growth by.1%. if you look at previous shutdowns, the effect on stocks has been short-lived. the difference this time is these are stormy times. christine romans talked about it, the debt ceiling deadline in two two weeks is, the fed meeting and third quarter earrings season, as well. >> zain, two quick questions. people you talk to downstairs, why do they think this could be avoided? are we going to see any difference in the jobs report friday? could that possibly be delayed? >> people i spoke to downstairs, the idea is they've grown numb