1978, john paul ii, there were two strong contenders, they each had strong support, but neither one of them could get across the magic two-thirds threshold, so what happened is the cardinals in the conclave went shopping for somebody else and gave us allan poeland. there are a number of handicappers who think we might see a similar thing this time. >> reporter: this is about the holy spirit, there is a lot of thought into who this should be and why. we hear the italian, obviously, and the brazilian very much. why these two men and what makes it make sense they should be favorites? >> you also have to throw mark ruelette from france. why? because what the cardinals seem to be wanting are three things out of the next pope, a global vision, a capacity to evangelize, meaning get people