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Jose Diaz-Balart Reports

evangelical vote, win the iowa republican caucuses. mike huckabee in 2008, rick san tor up in 2012. 42 of the 99 counties in iowa were huckabee, santorum, cruz counties. donald trump lost iowa in 2016, lost to ted cruz. one of the big reasons was evangelicals were not yet really on board with donald trump. so places that were looking that fit that mold, a pretty big one in northwest iowa is sioux county. this was actually in 2016. i'll show you the results. a win for ted cruz, it was donald trump's worst county in iowa in 2012. he only got 11% of the vote right here. so in counties like this we want to see two things we're looking for tonight, number one, has trump improved, the polls certainly suggest he has. maybe the question is how much has trump improved with evangelical voters since 2016. polls indicate this is now a core part of his base. the county like sioux and these other 41 huckabee, santorum cruz counties are going to tell that

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Chris Jansing Reports

example. we'll be looking at those 42 counties that went huckabee '08, sanitorium '12, cruz '16. sioux county, northwest iowa, this was trump's worst county in the state in 2016, only got 11% of the vote here. there's a lot of talk about how since iowa in 2016 trump has built a bond with evangelical voters. the polls show that. we want to show what that looks like in a county like this. conversely, from ron desantis' standpoint, if he's going to pull off any kind of surprise here he's talking about in that interview, he's really going hard after the evangelical vote in iowa. those 42 counties that the evangelical vote has loomed largest in in the last three elections, he's got to show it in those places, like sioux county, those counties that went for cruz, huckabee, santoru

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Katy Tur Reports

correspondent, dasha burns. >> that was very cute the way you said that. garrett, give me an update on donald trump, why is he not getting face time today like the other candidates are? >> reporter: the bottom line is because he doesn't feel like he has to. the lead he has built up in this state is something that could ultimately lead to breaking a record. we expect his son, donald trump jr., where i am right now in ankeny, north of des moines, if you look at where donald trump and has allies have been in the last two days, webster county, warren county, polk county where i am. counties run by ted cruz, marco rubio, it speaks to the way donald trump has been able to consolidate report across the breadth of the republican party, evangelical voters who broke for cruz, our polls say they support him, new caucus goers, young or new to the process, really from across the kind of rural expanse of iowa going for donald trump.

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The Story With Martha MacCallum

i think he had so much early attention at a moment when people didn't think that president trump was going to have the strength that he still has. so i mean, i wonder about desantis. how he's played this game. >> and rick santorum did the same thing. he went to all 99 counties. huckabee won. cruz did the same. he's following that playbook, but it's a trump year. it's a tough, tough thing to come up against donald trump. he's a juggernaut. we know that. if he can leap frog over haley at this late hour, that will be significant. but we'll see. we'll see if nikki haley spent millions of dollars whether she can turn people out to vote for her and whether there's a real crossover of democrats -- republicans for the day. i'm not sure about that. >> martha: if it turns out to be trump-biden, we're hearing more and more that there may be this no labels team. you can see what is happening with haley. you get people that cross over.

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Americas Choice 2024 Iowa Caucuses

important lessons about trump's voters. if he does very well up here again and down here again tonight with ron desantis running, think of desantis has cruz. does trump blow him out or do they split it again? that will tell us about his strength with his bedrock base, rural voters. >> and do you see any vulnerabilities within the numbers so far? >> so use the same map. this is iowa 2020, right. donald trump wins overwhelmingly. well, where is the blue? that's joe biden, right. this is joe biden in 2020. circle these areas and come back. now let's go all the way back to 2016, all right. and look at the republican presidential primary right there. okay. those same areas, right, that's ted cruz. right? the areas biden won, that's ted cruz. why? it has suburbs. that's marco rubio. it has suburbs. this is marco rubio. it has suburbs. storey county tonight, the college town of ames. but storey county as well north of des moines. des moines itself is in polk county right here. donald trump from the beginning has struggled in the suburbs. he beat hillary clinton in the

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Dateline

thrown around. he's either killed by the first shotgun blast, or he is covered in blood, and mr. cruz was neither. this was, clearly, a premeditated murder. >> when dateline continues. his vision dimmed with age. he had amd. i didn't know it then, but it can progress to ga, an advanced form of the disease. his struggle with vision loss from amd made me want to help you see warning signs of ga. like straight lines that seem wavy, blurry, or missing visual spots that make it hard to see faces like this one, or trouble with low light that makes driving at night a real challenge. if you've been diagnosed with amd and notice vision changes, don't wait. ga is irreversible. it's important to catch it early. talk to your eye doctor about ga and learn more at gawontwait.com

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Special Report With Bret Baier

segment. joining us texas democratic congressman henry cuellar and texas republican senator ted cruz bipartisan, bicameral common ground tonight. thank you, gentlemen, for coming on. the issue of immigration, obviously, front and center. you have the dhs secretary facing impeachment in the house, congressman. and senator, there is a real question about what can get done in a bipartisan way. first to you, senator cruz. is there hope here? >> well, look, on immigration and border security, i don't know. the white house, i think, is very dug. in but what there is hope on is actually something that henry and i worked on together in a big victory that we just had in congress, which is legislation that he and i did together that focuses on trade across the border, legal trade, so not illegal immigration but legal trade and commerce going across the border in particular four new bridge products. two in laredo, one in

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All In With Chris Hayes

the way, elise stefanik, who is now saying, yeah, who cares about the rule of law, i'm just going to make up stuff, and the rule of law doesn't matter, she's a harvard grad. so i've got a news flash for everybody out there. harvard is failing in brainwashing all of their students into a progressive mindset. because half the tools are running around washington right now, whether it's cruz or holly or stefanik or this guy that was in court today are harvard educated. or yale. harvard or yale. so, i mean, it really kind of blows up this theory that there is some kind of like vast conspiracy to have all the ivy league schools turn out woke robots. and it's on its face, knowing what impeachment is like, knowing what the process is, it's a political process. it's not a court of law. anybody who thinks impeachment must be necessary to enforce

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Laura Coates Live

that's part of his messaging and it's working. republican voters became more resolute in support of trump that they are defiance they consider themselves partners with himself on. >> what do you think of nikki haley slimming the lead for trump? we have a great debate coming up this week. what do you make of nikki haley slimming that lead? >> i think she has real momentum. iowa does not determine much of anything. >> don't tell iowa that. they don't want to hear that. >> it does determine evangelical support for a g.o.p. candidate. if it could determine presidents, we would talk about s santorum, huckabee and cruz. when iowa zigs, new hampshire zags. it's a better bellwether.

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The Beat With Ari Melber

court in a coup trial this week. in '16, cruz got 51,000 votes total in the iowa caucus. that was the big win. it certainly slowed down trump's momentum. trump was just 6,000 iowans behind that. if anything i just showed you the basically evidence of what will happen, based on past elections, iowans we just heard from, the sheer intensity of this cold front could be less than 50,000. the margin could be really pivotal. if turnout is low, if trump is not seen as delivering the knockout in iowa, then the republican party could face a kind of sad sequel to its red fizzle hangover in the mid-terms. trump could be a few thousand up but with nothing close to what the party needed, it could be the cold front fizzle for trump.

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