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court clerks show the law will be overturned. that's up from 35% who thought that before the oral arguments. it gives the 76% chance of it being overturned. if the court does overturn the mandate, it's almost certainly going to be on a party line vote. what can't be forgotten here, though, what can't be overstated and what frankly makes the entire story so unbelievable is that the individual mandate is an idea republicans. republicans thought of in the 1990s, that they supported all through the 2000s, and that democrats didn't fully embrace until 2009. when they embraced it in part b...

conservative economist, a guy so revered by republicans that in a debate last year, mitt romney said he wished he could bringham back from the dead to put him in charge of the federal reserve. he proposed a requirement that every u.s. family unit have a major medical inshrjs policy. okay, you might say these are just conservative intellectuals, doesn'tprieve anything about the republican party. fast forward to 1993, the day republican senator jon chaffee of rhode island introduced his party's alternative to the clinton bill. >> mr. president, i'm very pleased today to join with 19 of...

have concerns about the republican alternatives. fox news' digital politics editor cries stierwalt, host of the power play on foxnews.com live, joins me now. hi chris. >> greetings from sue city, how we doing? >> alisyn: doing well. looks chilly there but you guys did a great job last night. let's talk about this new poll, because it's interesting, it measures how independents feel. as we said, 59 percent of them say they disapprove. what better calculus is there, frankly, as to what's going to happen in 2012, since aren't they the decision makers? >> let's put it into an even larger...

have concerns about the republican alternatives. fox news' digital politics editor cries stierwalt, host of the power play on foxnews.com live, joins me now. hi chris. >> greetings from sue city, how we doing? >> alisyn: doing well. looks chilly there but you guys did a great job last night. let's talk about this new poll, because it's interesting, it measures how independents feel. as we said, 59 percent of them say they disapprove. what better calculus is there, frankly, as to what's going to happen in 2012, since aren't they the decision makers? >> let's put it into an even larger...

at the scene in maryland. we've got complete fox team courage up and down the east coast for you. first the latest from our own meteorologist janice dean in the extreme weather center. she is exhausted, but janice, earl -- i don't even know what to believe with earl any more. >> reporter: so far earl has been well behaved. as you mentioned we can't let our guard down yet. even the national hurricane center is saying, these things are fickle it could move a little bit more to the left of that cone of uncertainty that's why we call it the cone of uncertainty. folks in cape cod and the ...