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Speak to consumers, expected to spend a whopping 7. 4 billion today according to a dopey analytics. Jackie deangelis joins us from a mall and edison, new jersey. What is it look like right now . Well, its starting to heat up. Behind me, macys was open from 5 00 p. M. Last night in the mall is just opening inside in the concourse now so you can see h and m is still closed the people are lining up outside. Down here we have an Urban Outfitters with people getting ready to go in as well and as you said the projection is for over 7 billion this year hoping to set new records last year black friday spending was about 6. 2 billion. The average consumer that comes out today is expected to spend about 400, but the question is, is at the same kind of black friday we are used to to maybe five years ago or 10 years ago . People would line up and storm the stores for deals. You can get a lot of deals online in the deals in the stores, the d ....
Dark about those allimportant trade talks with china. Top level negotiations start now. Where are they going, we dont know. But we can tell you that apple has removed an app which had been used to track the movement of Police Forces in hong kong. We can tell you that nba events in china have been disrupted because chinas bullying american basketball teams. And we can tell you that after being dropped in china for supporting hong kong protesters, south park has fired back with an obscenity. We can also tell you that todays market activity hinges almost entirely on any headline that emerges from the trade talks. In the absence of any hard news, its a virtual stalemate. The dow is going to be down maybe 30. Two down for the s p, maybe five points lower for the nasdaq. I will call that a standoff. Heres the stock of the day and its a big winner. Bed, bath beyond is up 19 free market. They have hired a top guy from target to turn around ....
There is no getting around their influence. Our expert is here to get us started with a snapshot. You mentioned the fed and rates. This is a big deal, it has had a big effect on etf flows. We have seen what has gone on the bottom side of things, but we have seen other etf flows. In particular sectors. You would think tech would be number one, that it is real estate. The yield is 5 , 6 , so the thirst for yield has pushed money into interesting places. Our etfs taking over the world . Sectors, itat the is way more owned by passive than other sectors. 5 of real estate etf are owned by passive funds, that is very high. Estate etfsl are owned by passive funds, very high. This company, almost 40 is owned as passive. If we continue to see rates staying low, some of these will be majority owned by passive funds, and if rates rise, look out. Extra selling pressure. Scarlet just a matter of time. Lets bring in the chief Investment Officer< ....
Overheating economy or a tight labor market. Wage increases are modest. We dont see wages signaling tightness. It has been below the 2 objective the last 25 years. Is a transitory or are there more fundamental things that work . I think were watching carefully to see. We think it is important to gradually move our policy rate to a neutral level. The economy is strong, unemployment is low, growth is strong, it appears to have picked up. It is time to be normalizing Interest Rates. Jonathan joining me is cohead of Global Portfolio management at Goldman Sachs asset management. And coming to us from london, 16 fixed Income Portfolio manager at j. P. Morgan asset management. It is great to have you guys with us. I want to begin with you, what will change at the fed gi ....
Get us started with a snapshot. You mentioned the fed and rates. This is a big deal, it has had a big effect on etf flows. We have seen what has gone on the bottom side of things, but it has also affected etf flows , in particular sectors. You would think tech would be number one, that it is real estate. Rates yield is 5 , 6 , so the thirst for yield has pushed money into interesting places. Our etf taking over the world . If you look at the sectors, it is way more owned by passive than other sectors. 25 of real estate etfs are owned by passive funds, very high. If we look at which stocks in this area, we see a company like anger, which is 46 owned by passive funds. Some of the stocks are like a canary in the coal mines. Rates continue to stay low, some will be majority owned by passive funds. And if rates rise, look out. Scarlet just a matter of time. Lets bring in the chief Investment Officer of caruso investment. He has a d ....